U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the Board of Peace had reached what he described as a “historic agreement” on the complete disarmament of Hamas and other armed groups in the Gaza Strip. The U.S. administration is now working to implement the agreement in order to offset the sense of failure vis-à-vis Iran and revive the 20-point plan. For its part, Hamas is displaying tactical flexibility in response to Israeli military pressure (the IDF has expanded its control westward from the “Yellow Line” to the “Orange Line”) and has...
Findings of the National Security Survey: July 2026
Findings of the National Security Survey: July 2026
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Research Team: Abir Gitlin, Idit Shafran Gittleman and Gal Shani
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The war between the United States and Iran presented China with a complex strategic challenge: maintaining its relations with Iran, the Gulf states, and the United States all at once, while safeguarding its economic and energy interests in the region. Despite possessing the economic tools to exert significant influence, Beijing chose to limit its response primarily to the diplomatic arena and refrained from using the leverage at its disposal. This article argues that Beijing’s conduct should not be viewed as passivity, but...
The Russian Orthodox Church in Israel is commonly viewed as a religious institution whose purpose is to serve the many Orthodox pilgrims who visit the country each year. However, beyond its role as a community of believers, the church constitutes a significant political actor in Russia’s efforts to expand its influence in Israel in particular and the Middle East in general. In practice, the Russian Orthodox Church, through its institutions and representatives, serves as a governing arm of the Putinist regime in Israel. As the issue...
Since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iran has operated under varying degrees of international sanctions, with the most significant measures targeting its energy sector and financial system in response to its nuclear program. Over the past four decades, Iran has not only adapted to these constraints but has systematically institutionalized sanctions evasion as a central pillar of its economic survival strategy. In recent years, Iran and Hezbollah have increasingly turned to cryptocurrencies as a way to bypass U.S. sanctions. The...
The nuclear agreement signed between the United States and Saudi Arabia marks a turning point in American nuclear policy and carries broad implications for the regional security architecture. After years in which Washington conditioned any nuclear cooperation on forgoing fuel-cycle capabilities, it is now adopting a more flexible approach that seeks to manage proliferation risks rather than prevent them entirely. In doing so, the agreement creates a significant precedent and raises questions regarding the future of the Nuclear...
The global race for artificial intelligence is fundamentally reshaping how states perceive technological infrastructure. While competition in recent decades revolved around control over data, digital platforms, and AI models, it has become clear that a nation’s strategic advantage will now largely be determined by its control over the physical AI value chain—spanning critical minerals, advanced chip manufacturing, high-performance computing (Compute) infrastructure, data centers, energy, and frontier models. The competition is...
The upcoming elections in Israel, to be held on October 27, are not perceived in Egypt and Jordan as a purely internal Israeli affair. Rather, they are depicted in mainstream media in both countries as a strategic junction that could impact their direct interests, the future of the Palestinian issue, and the broader regional landscape. At the same time, an analysis of the public discourse in both countries reveals an ambivalence. On the one hand, many commentators make no secret of their hope that Israel’s current government...
Israeli Public Threat Perceptions Index
Israeli Public Threat Perceptions Index
Public Opinion and Expert Survey Findings, February-July 2026Public Opinion and Expert Survey Findings, February-July 2026
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The confrontation between the United States and Iran surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has entered a more dangerous phase than before. The American move, which initially focused on targeting maritime and military infrastructure in the area of Bandar Abbas and applying concentrated pressure on Tehran, has expanded following the Iranian response against vessels, U.S. military bases, and the Gulf states. Washington seeks to combine cumulative military pressure with maintaining an open diplomatic channel; to deny Iran the ability to turn...
Since the outbreak of the “Swords of Iron” war, the Palestinian Authority (PA) has faced a severe fiscal and institutional crisis that has led to numerous assessments regarding its imminent collapse. Yet, as of July 2026, it continues to function and provide basic services. The PA’s survival, despite the dramatic blow to its clearance revenues and the suspension of Palestinian employment in Israel, has been enabled by a significant increase in foreign aid and alternative funding mechanisms. These developments...
This interactive map documents strikes by Iran and its proxies across the region, alongside U.S. strikes, from April 2026 onward. It is continuously updated and draws on open-source intelligence (OSINT), visual documentation, official statements, and media reporting. The project aims to provide an accessible, data-driven, and current picture of the conflict as it develops.
