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The IMEC Initiative: Economic Potential Contingent on Political Considerations

Yoel Guzansky, Gallia Lindenstrauss

INSS Insight No. 2002, July 1, 2025

The IMEC initiative reflects the shifting dynamics of the regional and international system, in which traditional and new players seek to reshape the map of transportation, economy, and geopolitical influence between Asia and Europe. The initiative highlights the economic potential of inter-regional connectivity and also the political complexity it entails—from geopolitical rivalries and infrastructure considerations to diplomatic constraints. Israel, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey, and other actors each seek to...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, Turkey
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After the Israel–Iran War: Hezbollah’s Decline and Israel’s Opportunity

Orna Mizrahi, Moran Levanoni

INSS Insight No. 1999, July 1, 2025

Hezbollah’s position has deteriorated following the war between Israel and Iran. The organization’s decision to refrain from opening an additional front against Israel—despite expectations—highlighted its weakness. The outcome of the war has further exacerbated the challenges it now faces: Iran currently lacks the attention and capabilities to support Hezbollah; the IDF continues to target its operatives and infrastructure; and Lebanon’s new leadership is taking action against the organization, particularly in hopes of disarming...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Lebanon and Hezbollah
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The Urgent Imperative—Closing the Circle of War in the Gaza Strip

Udi Dekel

INSS Insight No. 1999, July 1, 2025

In light of the dramatic shift in the balance of power in the region following the confrontation between Israel and Iran—the restoration of Israeli deterrence; the open motivation of US President Donald Trump to bring an end to the war; the weakening of the resistance axis and its non-state actors; Hamas’s weakened and isolated state, dependent on the mercy of mediator states; the willingness of Arab states to engage and assist in stabilizing Gaza without Hamas rule—a window of opportunity has emerged to close the circle of war that...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Hamas and the Gaza Strip, Israeli-Palestinian Relations, Swords of Iron War
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The Israel–Iran War: Concluded but not Resolved

Raz Zimmt

INSS Insight No. 1998, June 25, 2025

The fragile ceasefire between Iran and Israel marks the end of the current—and thus far most severe—phase in the ongoing hostilities between the Islamic Republic and Israel. Israel can conclude this phase of the conflict with a degree of satisfaction: even if Iran still retains a stockpile of uranium enriched to 60%—which it possessed before the campaign and may have transferred to hidden locations—its nuclear program has been significantly set back. Conversely, Iran is expected to portray the battle as a success, regardless of its...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Iran, Iran: Nuclear and Military Programs, The Israel-Iran War
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"Peace Through Strength": America's Path Against the Emerging Global Threat

Yacov Bengo

INSS Insight No. 1997, June 24, 2025

This article reframes the current global landscape: the United States faces not a regional conflict but a decisive struggle for its established world order. Five states—Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, and Qatar—are coordinately challenging American hegemony, using economic, cyber, and cognitive warfare, a dynamic the United States often struggles to fully grasp. Iran, the most vulnerable yet dangerous link, looms as a nuclear threat that would irreversibly shift global power and constrain US influence. With Europe largely...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, Israel-United States Relations, Military and Strategic Affairs, Russia
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The Campaign against Iran: Situation Assessment, Dilemmas, and Implications

Raz Zimmt

INSS Insight No. 1996, June 17, 2025

Three days into the campaign between Israel and Iran, Tehran is approaching a crossroads regarding the continuation of hostilities, a potential exit strategy, and a possible post-conflict arrangement. For now, Iran remains focused on managing the war. However, as the campaign continues and the damage accumulates, Tehran will need to choose between maintaining the current level of confrontation, ending the fighting through a political arrangement, or escalating further—potentially by withdrawing from the Non-Proliferation Treaty...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Iran, Iran: Nuclear and Military Programs, The Israel-Iran War
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The Quiet Crisis: How Do Arab States Currently View Israel?

Ofir Winter, Ofer Guterman

INSS Insight No. 1992, June 11, 2025

During Israel’s ongoing war, the Arab peace states—especially Egypt, Jordan, and the United Arab Emirates—have expressed deep mistrust, frustration, and even bewilderment over Israel’s conduct. These sentiments have recently intensified and appear to have reached a peak. While these countries acknowledge Israel’s military achievements and recognize that they could have a positive impact on the Middle East, they are also profoundly disturbed by what they perceive as Israel’s rigid, one-dimensional militaristic approach—namely, the...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Egypt, Jordan, Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
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China’s Global Initiatives: Implications and Recommendations for Israel

Shira Gross

INSS Insight No. 1994, May 11, 2025

Under the leadership of Xi Jinping, China has promoted a series of global initiatives—the first of which was the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), followed in recent years by the Global Development Initiative (GDI), the Global Security Initiative (GSI), and the Global Civilization Initiative (GCI). These initiatives, alongside the concept of a “community with a shared future for mankind,” are part of a broader strategy to reshape China’s international environment and advance a Chinese vision for the global order. For Israel, it is...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Israel-China Policy Center - The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation
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Iran’s Nuclear Program: Between IAEA Warnings and Moves Toward a Deal

Sima Shine, Eldad Shavit

INSS Insight No. 1993, May 10, 2025

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) published two alarming reports regarding Iran’s nuclear program. One report addresses Iran’s past activities at sites not declared to the IAEA, for which Tehran has failed to provide satisfactory explanations. The second report concerns the current status of the program and indicates an acceleration in the accumulation of highly enriched uranium, enabling Iran to enrich to military grade for 10 nuclear bombs within days. Both reports are expected to be discussed at the upcoming IAEA Board...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Iran, Iran: Nuclear and Military Programs, Israel-United States Relations
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The “Cavalry Army” Becomes the “Hi-Tech Army”

Azar Gat

INSS Insight No. 1991, May 5, 2025

In his book The Hi-Tech Army and the Cavalry Army: How Israel Abandoned the Ground Forces (Hebrew, 2024), written mostly before the war in Gaza, Brig. Gen. (res.) Guy Hazut sharply criticizes the steadily declining importance and chronic neglect of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) ground forces over recent decades. He critiques the division of the IDF into an elite “hi-tech army,” relying on the air force, precision-guided munitions, and special forces, on the one hand, and, on the other, the supposedly outdated “cavalry army”—the...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Military and Strategic Affairs
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Israel–United States: From “Special Relations” to Just “Relations”?

Shimon Stein

INSS Insight No. 1989, May 5, 2025

The domestic American, regional, and global reality is currently undergoing dramatic changes. Will Israeli–US relations remain immune to these upheavals and their diverse consequences? Will the relations continue as they have (subject to circumstantial adjustments)? Will Israel’s value as an asset outweigh the burden it may pose for the United States? In answering these questions, the significant erosion in the pillars of the “special relationship”—the shared ethos and mutual interests, as well as cracks in the bridge connecting the...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Israel-United States Relations
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Operation "Gideon's Chariots" – Crossing Red Lines?

Pnina Sharvit Baruch, Tammy Caner

INSS Insight No. 1990, May 4, 2025

In May, the IDF launched Operation “Gideon’s Chariots,” aimed at achieving the war’s objectives in the Gaza Strip: securing the return of the hostages and dismantling Hamas both militarily and politically. The full scope of the “Gideon’s Chariots” operational plan remains unclear, and contradictions have emerged between statements made by military officials and political leaders. It is also uncertain whether there is genuine intent to carry out all phases of the operation; some of the announcements may be...
Media type: INSS Insight | Topics: Law and National Security
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  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • Iran
      • The Israel–Iran War
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
      • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
      • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
      • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
      • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
      • Turkey
      • Egypt
      • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
      • Military and Strategic Affairs
      • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
      • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
      • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
      • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
      • Data Analytics Center
      • Law and National Security
      • Advanced Technologies and National Security
      • Cognitive Warfare
      • Economics and National Secutiry
    • Projects
      • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
      • Contemporary Antisemitism in the United States
      • Perceptions about Jews and Israel in the Arab-Muslim World and Their Impact on the West
  • Publications

    • All Publications
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