Special PublicationFrom Nuclear Threshold to Nuclear Weapons? Reassessing Iran's Nuclear Doctrine
The debate within Iran’s leadership over the possibility of a nuclear breakout, and its implications for the Islamic Republic’s nuclear policy following two military campaigns
13 August, 2026
INSS InsightReactions in Iran to the Mecca Agreement: Between the Erosion of the American Order and a New Regional Challenge
How does Tehran view the defense agreement signed between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan?
10 August, 2026
INSS InsightUnder the Shadow of War: The Continued Erosion of Iran’s Middle Class
How have the war and the subsequent worsening economic crisis accelerated the ongoing erosion of Iran's middle class — and what are the social and political implications of this process?
24 June, 2026
INSS InsightBetween Tehran and Beirut: Iran’s Growing Commitment to Hezbollah
Against the backdrop of the recent escalation, which culminated in Israel's strike on a Hezbollah stronghold: How the linkage between Tehran and the Shiite terrorist organization was reshaped in the wake of Operation "Roaring Lion"
9 June, 2026
DatabaseLive Dashboard: The Hormuz Crisis - Global Economic Impact
This dashboard report presents ten charts documenting the global economic effects of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. From surging oil, gas, and jet fuel prices, to disruptions in aluminum and fertilizer supply chains, and mounting pressure on the global food price index, the charts together point to a single vulnerability in the global economy that evolved into a catalyst for a multidimensional crisis. The charts will be updated weekly and will continue tracking effects likely to persist well after the fighting subsides, as disruptions to global supply chains do not disappear the day after a ceasefire.
31 May, 2026
Strategic AssessmentOvertaking on the Right: The Iranian Ultra-Conservative Challenge and its Implications for Regime Unity
Since the end of 2024 there has been growing criticism from ultra-conservative and revolutionary factions in the Islamic Republic on issues of domestic and foreign policy. Most of the criticism has focused on Iran’s lack of response to the Israeli attack on October 26, 2024, Iranian failures in Syria in view of the collapse of the Assad regime, and the decision to postpone implementation of the hijab law, which is intended to increase the severity of penalties for breaches of the Islamic dress code. Although disagreements between the main political streams in Iran are a regular feature of the system, the protest by radical groups is a subject of intense public and political interest, mainly because it centers around decisions that are not the sole responsibility of the government and that were taken by political institutions directly subordinate to the supreme leader, particularly the Supreme National Security Council. Therefore, sections of the conservative camp have expressed concern that the challenges to government policy posed by the radicals could not only further undermine social cohesion but also damage the unity of the governing elite. Even if the radical elements’ growing criticism of regime policy does not constitute an immediate and significant threat to the unity of the Iranian political and security elite, it could undermine the basis of the regime’s ideological support and harm its long-term ability to deal with more important threats to its stability.