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Special Publication
Three Camps, One Party: Democrats And The Future Of U.S.-Israel Policy
The victory of Dr. Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan’s 2026 Senate primary has been widely viewed as evidence that the Democratic Party is shifting sharply leftward on Israel. This report evaluates that claim by classifying all 259 Democratic incumbents in Congress, along with viable Democratic candidates for safe and contested seats in the upcoming November elections, into three factions. Classification drew on three sets of indicators, including each member’s stance on military aid to Israel, rhetoric used to describe Israel,...
Theodore Sasson | Ari Blumenthal | Avishay Ben Sasson-Gordis
22.09.2026
Special Publication
Strategic Alert: Jewish Terrorism and Nationalist Crime Are Accelerating the Breakdown of Israel’s State Institutions
Jewish terrorism has evolved from a local enforcement problem into a distinct strategic threat to the State of Israel and its democratic character. The destructive combination of inadequate enforcement, a lack of political backing for the security agencies, and the weakness of the judicial and law enforcement systems is creating a reality marked by lawlessness, non-recognition of state institutions, and the loss of the state’s monopoly on the use of force. The lack of a decisive Israeli response to this phenomenon constitutes...
The "Conflict to Resolution" Research Team
14.09.2026
Special Publication
Wikipedia as Infrastructure for Knowledge Poisoning: Bias Mechanisms and Countermeasures
In recent years, English Wikipedia has become a central link in a global ecosystem of generating, validating, and disseminating biased information. This information is replicated across search engines and artificial intelligence systems, through which it reaches broad audiences worldwide as reliable and authoritative knowledge. The systematic activity of a coordinated, ideologically motivated network of editors turns the platform into a significant infrastructure for knowledge poisoning with regard to Israel. This is executed through...
Shlomit Lir
09.09.2026
Special Publication
The Influence-Cybercrime Nexus
Introduction In recent years, a considerable effort has been devoted to countering attempts by authoritarian state actors to disseminate manipulated information that undermines liberal democratic institutions and influences domestic audiences. These activities, often referred to as influence operations,[1] have prompted the European Union to go as far as stating that: “Tanks or missiles are no longer the main weapons in attacks on democratic societies. FIMI[2] has become one of the defining security and foreign policy challenges of...
Ari Ben-Am | Vera Michlin-Shapir
23.08.2026
Special Publication
When Strength Becomes a Trap: A Structural Lens on Israel's Strategic Trajectory
This article applies Paul Kennedy’s thesis of imperial overstretch as a structural lens through which to examine Israel’s strategic trajectory in 2026. It does not contend that Israel is an empire, nor that decline is foreordained. Rather, it argues that the mechanism Kennedy identified, namely the tendency for strategic commitments to outgrow the productive base that must finance them, combined with the political incapacity of governing coalitions to redistribute burdens before the corrective window closes, operates at...
Mick Davis
16.08.2026
Special Publication
From Nuclear Threshold to Nuclear Weapons? Reassessing Iran's Nuclear Doctrine
Over the past year, an extensive debate has been underway in Iran regarding its nuclear doctrine and its validity. For decades, the Islamic Republic strove to achieve nuclear threshold capability while refraining from actually developing nuclear weapons, based on the view that such a capability provides deterrence without exposing Iran to the costs associated with a nuclear breakout. However, developments since October 2023, particularly the two American-Israeli strikes on Iran over the past year, have shaken the Iranian security...
Raz Zimmt
13.08.2026
Special Publication
The Engine and F-35 Aircraft Deal for Turkey: Implications for the Regional and Global Balance of Power
The current U.S. administration is advancing a major deal, valued at over $700 million, to sell F110 engines to Turkey for its KAAN aircraft project. Despite the administration’s attempts to bypass congressional barriers, this move is not an isolated event; rather, it is a strategic accelerator intended to pave the way for Ankara’s full return to the F-35 program. While Washington’s rationale seeks to preserve Turkey as an anchor within NATO, in practice, it creates a serious dilemma and presents a weighty,...
Yacov Bengo
15.07.2026
Special Publication
China and the Middle East: On the Eve of and During the War with Iran
Despite the prevailing perception that China retreated from the Middle East in 2025 amid the renewed strengthening of the United States in the region and the absence of significant Chinese involvement in the Israel-Iran war, the reality is more complex. A multi-dimensional analysis of trade, investment, technology, as well as security and diplomatic ties, shows that not only has China not retreated from the Middle East, but it has continued to consolidate and deepen its economic foothold there, maintaining a consistent pattern of...
Ori Sela
19.05.2026
Special Publication
In the Wake of “Roaring Lion”: Preliminary Insights, Hypotheses, and Dilemmas for Israel
More than two months after the outbreak of Operation “Roaring Lion,” the Islamic Republic stands with significant vulnerabilities and a new leadership, yet it also has certain achievements to its credit. These include surviving a joint American-Israeli attack and exploiting levers of pressure created during the fighting, including attacks against the Gulf states and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. While it is premature to assess the full implications of the war, the conclusion of which remains uncertain, prominent...
Raz Zimmt
06.05.2026
Special Publication
The Lone Editor as a Source of Knowledge Bias Concerning Israel on English Wikipedia: The Case of Iskandar323
Bias against Israel on English Wikipedia is a known and documented phenomenon, yet its internal mechanisms often remain hidden from the broader public. This article examines the underlying mechanisms of this phenomenon through a focused analysis of the behavioral patterns of Iskandar323, a senior and experienced editor who operated on the platform for nearly twelve years before being permanently banned in early 2026 for violating prior restrictions on editing articles on the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. The study is based on mapping...
Shlomit Lir
04.05.2026
Special Publication
America First? The Relevance of the BRICS in Trump’s New World Order and its impact on the Middle East.
Introduction  Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency has consolidated a shift in American foreign policy toward unilateralism, economic coercion, and transactional diplomacy. At the core of Trump’s “America First” policy is the belief that the international order long led by the United States has been turned against it, driven by deindustrialization and the disruptive effects of globalization. Instead, Trump seeks to restore American economic primacy, which he views as having been exploited by economic rivals such as China,...
Jesse R. Weinberg | Arkady Mil-Man | Yaron Gamburg
04.05.2026
Special Publication
The Long Road to Disarming Hezbollah—A DDR Model for Lebanon
Assuming that Operation Roaring Lion does not end in the complete defeat of Hezbollah, the issue of disarming Hezbollah will remain on the agenda at its conclusion—an interest shared by both Israel and the Lebanese state. This article proposes adopting the DDR model—Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration—and advancing an L(ebanon)DDR process as an orderly framework for disarming Hezbollah and integrating it into Lebanon, alongside repairing, rebuilding, and strengthening the Lebanese state. This framework offers an...
Orna Mizrahi | Udi Dekel | Ofer Guterman
15.04.2026
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  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Antisemitism and Delegitimization
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • The Campaign Against Iran and the Shiite Axis
      • Iran
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
      • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
      • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
      • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
      • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
      • Turkey
      • Egypt
      • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
      • Military and Strategic Affairs
      • Israel's Security Strategy
      • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
      • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
      • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
      • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
      • Data Analytics Center
      • Law and National Security
      • Advanced Technologies and National Security
      • Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference
      • Economics and National Security
    • Projects
      • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
      • India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC)
  • Publications

    • All Publications
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