Publications on the topic The Campaign Against Iran and the Shiite Axis | INSS
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Publications on The Campaign Against Iran and the Shiite Axis

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Interactive Live Map: Fighting between the Houthis, the Yemeni Government, and the Saudi-led Coalition
This interactive map tracks the conflict in Yemen from July 2026 onward. It is continuously updated and based on open-source intelligence (OSINT), including geolocated visual documentation, satellite imagery, statements by official and non-state actors, and reporting from regional and international media outlets. The map aims to illustrate and document military activity and the movement of front lines over time.
Stephane Cohen
16.09.2026
INSS Insight
From Military Force to Economic Isolation: The New Phase in Trump's Iran Policy
The Trump administration’s announcement of “Operation Economic Outcast” marks a transition to a new phase in the campaign against Iran. After roughly six months of fighting, during which Tehran suffered severe damage, the full picture of the campaign remains incomplete: maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has not returned to normal, and the nuclear issue remains unresolved. In light of this, Washington is seeking to shift the center of gravity: relying less on further expansion of the military campaign and leaning...
Eldad Shavit | Jesse R. Weinberg | Sima Shine
27.08.2026
Special Publication
From Nuclear Threshold to Nuclear Weapons? Reassessing Iran's Nuclear Doctrine
Over the past year, an extensive debate has been underway in Iran regarding its nuclear doctrine and its validity. For decades, the Islamic Republic strove to achieve nuclear threshold capability while refraining from actually developing nuclear weapons, based on the view that such a capability provides deterrence without exposing Iran to the costs associated with a nuclear breakout. However, developments since October 2023, particularly the two American-Israeli strikes on Iran over the past year, have shaken the Iranian security...
Raz Zimmt
13.08.2026
INSS Insight
Action Through Inaction? The Chinese Strategy in the US-Iran War
The war between the United States and Iran presented China with a complex strategic challenge: maintaining its relations with Iran, the Gulf states, and the United States all at once, while safeguarding its economic and energy interests in the region. Despite possessing the economic tools to exert significant influence, Beijing chose to limit its response primarily to the diplomatic arena and refrained from using the leverage at its disposal. This article argues that Beijing’s conduct should not be viewed as passivity, but...
Galia Lavi
02.08.2026
INSS Insight
The Crisis in Hormuz: The American Strategy, Trump's Dilemmas, and the Implications for Israel
The confrontation between the United States and Iran surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has entered a more dangerous phase than before. The American move, which initially focused on targeting maritime and military infrastructure in the area of Bandar Abbas and applying concentrated pressure on Tehran, has expanded following the Iranian response against vessels, U.S. military bases, and the Gulf states. Washington seeks to combine cumulative military pressure with maintaining an open diplomatic channel; to deny Iran the ability to turn...
Eldad Shavit | Jesse R. Weinberg
26.07.2026
Database
Interactive Live Map: The Campaign in the Persian Gulf
This interactive map documents strikes by Iran and its proxies across the region, alongside U.S. strikes, from April 2026 onward. It is continuously updated and draws on open-source intelligence (OSINT), visual documentation, official statements, and media reporting. The project aims to provide an accessible, data-driven, and current picture of the conflict as it develops.
Stephane Cohen | Carmen Berkovits | Avihu Marom
22.07.2026
INSS Insight
Under the Shadow of War: The Continued Erosion of Iran’s Middle Class
The war in Iran and the subsequent worsening economic crisis have accelerated the ongoing erosion of the country’s middle class, which has been particularly hard hit by high inflation, the impact of sanctions, declining purchasing power, and a growing employment crisis. In recent months, Iranian scholars and commentators have warned of the downward mobility of large segments of the middle class into lower socioeconomic strata and of their increasing dependence on government assistance, undermining their ability to sustain the...
Raz Zimmt
24.06.2026
INSS Insight
Not Quite the End: The Implications of the U.S.–Iran Memorandum of Understanding
The memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran marks the end of the military campaign, but not the end of the challenge posed by the Iranian threat. The document is not a new nuclear agreement, but rather an interim framework designed to halt the fighting, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift the naval blockade, and enable negotiations on a final agreement within 60 days. Trump will be able to present the memorandum as an achievement: ending the war, stabilizing energy markets, and securing an Iranian commitment not...
Eldad Shavit | Sima Shine
22.06.2026
INSS Insight
Between Lebanon and Iran: The Efforts to Prevent Escalation and Separate the Arenas
The Israeli strike in Beirut following Hezbollah’s rocket fire on northern Israel, and the subsequent round of exchanges between Israel and Iran, illustrate both the complexity of the American effort to curb escalation and Israel’s challenge of separating the Lebanese arena from Iran. The Trump administration sought to advance a renewed agreement  between Israel and Lebanon, strengthen the Lebanese government, restrict Hezbollah’s freedom of action, and preserve maneuver space regarding Tehran. However, it failed to prevent an...
Eldad Shavit | Orna Mizrahi
11.06.2026
INSS Insight
The Price of the War in Lebanon: Cracks in Shiite Support for Hezbollah
As the war between Israel and Hezbollah drags on, mounting signs suggest that its severe impact on Lebanon’s Shiite population is beginning to erode support for the organization. This is particularly due to the heavy price being paid by the Shiite population — and Lebanon as a whole — as a result of Hezbollah’s war in service of Iranian interests. While Hezbollah still enjoys broad support within the Shiite sector, cracks in that support weigh heavily on the organization as it fights a war of survival under intense military,...
Orna Mizrahi | Moran Levanoni
10.06.2026
INSS Insight
Between Tehran and Beirut: Iran’s Growing Commitment to Hezbollah
Since the outbreak of Operation “Roaring Lion,” and even more so against the backdrop of the escalation in Lebanon in recent weeks, the perception emphasizing Hezbollah’s importance as a strategic component of Iran’s security doctrine has grown stronger in Tehran. Hezbollah’s decision to join the campaign alongside Iran was perceived in Tehran as an expression of its commitment to the pro-Iranian axis in the region and of the continued relevance of Iran’s proxy strategy—which appeared to be eroding following the...
Raz Zimmt
09.06.2026
Database
Live Dashboard: The Campaign Against Iran and the Shiite Axis
The Data Analytics Center at the Institute for National Security Studies presents a real-time situation report regarding the military campaign on the Iranian and Lebanese fronts. The report includes a dedicated dashboard featuring selected data, accompanied by an interactive map depicting the situation on the ground. The data is updated continuously and as accurately as possible, based on intelligence assessments, open-source information, and media reports.
Nitsan Prayzler | Mora Deitch | Gal Shani | Stephane Cohen | Avihu Marom
07.06.2026
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  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Antisemitism and Delegitimization
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • The Campaign Against Iran and the Shiite Axis
      • Iran
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
      • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
      • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
      • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
      • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
      • Turkey
      • Egypt
      • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
      • Military and Strategic Affairs
      • Israel's Security Strategy
      • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
      • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
      • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
      • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
      • Data Analytics Center
      • Law and National Security
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      • Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference
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      • India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC)
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