Gaza’s social media discourse has recently shown a clear shift regarding the disarmament of Hamas. Once an ideological symbol whose relinquishment was seen as surrender, the issue has become the subject of pragmatic debate about the benefits of continuing the armed struggle weighed against the heavy price Gaza’s population is paying. The online debate falls into three main approaches: (1) Hamas’s critics, who support disarmament as a necessary step toward ending the war, preventing displacement, and beginning Gaza’s reconstruction,...
Recent public opinion polls conducted among the Palestinian public indicate a significant weakening of the “resistance is winning” narrative and reflect a profound conceptual shift. This shift moves the center of gravity from supporting Hamas’s strategy of resistance toward a pragmatic approach that is acutely aware of its costs.
This process of disillusionment is evident in the unprecedented drop in support for “armed struggle” as an effective means of achieving national goals, alongside a surge in...
The new Gaza roadmap, formulated within the framework of President Trump’s Board of Peace, seeks to translate the 20-Point Plan and UN Security Council Resolution 2803, having approved it from a conceptual framework to a detailed implementation plan. On the one hand, it modifies some of the security assumptions on which these documents were based; on the other hand, it may represent the only practical framework for transferring power from Hamas and establishing an alternative governing authority in the Gaza Strip. As the framework...
In recent weeks, talks have been underway in Cairo on the formation of an expanded national list ahead of the Palestinian Legislative Council elections scheduled for November. This list would include Fatah figures opposed to Abu Mazen alongside Hamas members, and possibly Palestinian Islamic Jihad as well. The composition of such a list would effectively allow Hamas to integrate into the Palestinian political system without being required to recognize the agreements signed between the PLO and Israel or place its weapons under the...
This situation report presents data regarding security incidents in the Gaza Strip since the outbreak of the “Swords of Iron” War. The data includes the scope of launches and alerts carried out by Hamas, Israeli and foreign fatalities, data regarding the hostages, data following the IDF’s ground maneuver, humanitarian aid, the economic situation in Gaza, and more. The data is based on official sources and open-source intelligence (OSINT) collection and is updated on an ongoing basis.
U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the Board of Peace had reached what he described as a “historic agreement” on the complete disarmament of Hamas and other armed groups in the Gaza Strip. The U.S. administration is now working to implement the agreement in order to offset the sense of failure vis-à-vis Iran and revive the 20-point plan. For its part, Hamas is displaying tactical flexibility in response to Israeli military pressure (the IDF has expanded its control westward from the “Yellow Line” to the “Orange Line”) and has...
This article examines the issue of dismantling Hamas’s military capabilities and demilitarizing the Gaza Strip by the IDF as a proactive, preemptive measure and a necessary prerequisite for implementing the “Twenty-Point Plan” for stabilizing and rehabilitating the Strip. The working assumption is that without a fundamental solution to the issue of military power in Gaza, any attempt to advance political or economic rehabilitation processes is doomed to failure. A lack of progress means the strengthening of Hamas, the rebuilding of...
As the campaign against Iran winds down, attention is expected to return to the Gaza Strip. In the meantime, Hamas is exploiting the strategic vacuum to rehabilitate its governance and military capabilities. Simultaneously, the Trump framework remains stalled, and the “Board of Peace” faces professional, operational, and budgetary difficulties in advancing its declared objectives. The issue of demilitarization remains trapped between Israel’s demand for the complete and immediate disarmament of Hamas and the...
The radicalization of Palestinian society in the Gaza Strip is not a new phenomenon, but the process has accelerated and deepened dramatically since Hamas’ takeover of the territory in 2007. Under its rule, an extremist religious-nationalist ideology has been systematically embedded across all spheres of Gaza life—from education and religious institutions to welfare and the media—producing a profound “Hamasification” of public consciousness.
The war that erupted on October 7 brought unprecedented ruin to the Gaza Strip, both...
The Board of Peace was initially conceived as a focused initiative intended to support the stabilization and reconstruction process in the Gaza Strip, as part of President Trump’s 20-Point Plan, which was anchored in the UN Security Council Resolution 2803. However, a review of its charter indicates a substantial deviation from its original purpose: the board is now defined as a global conflict-resolution mechanism outside the UN framework, with no reference to Gaza and no limitation to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. This gap...
This article examines the document that Hamas published in December 2025 summarizing the war and, in particular, the intensifying battle of narratives between Hamas and Israel. Hamas addresses three target audiences: the Palestinian and Arab public, Israel, and the international community. The article focuses especially on Hamas’s appeal to Western audiences, primarily in English, and its use of Western concepts, such as referring to Hamas terrorists as “freedom fighters.” Hamas also employs gaslighting tactics and makes...
