The target date for concluding a final agreement on the Iranian nuclear program between Iran and the P5+1 world powers has been postponed yet once more, and many doubt whether Iran and the Western powers will ever be able to achieve an agreement. Extension of the negotiations with Iran on a nuclear agreement gives Israel a seven-month period in which it does not have to make fateful decisions on the matter. On July 1, 2015, however, if a “bad agreement” is signed or if the talks collapse, Israel will face a strategic situation that...
As the talks between Iran and the P5+1 continue, the INSS Arms Control and Regional Security Program held a simulation exercise to explore possible developments following a “bad nuclear deal” – one that effectively enables Iran to maintain a nuclear breakout capability. The simulation highlighted some possible outcomes that could follow the signing of a “bad” nuclear agreement with Iran, and on this basis recommended several courses of action, including: Israel should act now to close potential loopholes in any prospective deal...
