Publications

This chapter spans four subjects. The first is an assessment of the national security situation in late 2018, as formulated by the Institute for National Security Studies. The second section focuses on core issues for early 2019 that should be debated by Israel’s military and political decision makers. The third section examines black swan events, strategically significant turning points that are unlikely to occur, but if they do occur, would be of utmost significance for Israel’s political and security situation. It is recommended that the Israeli government examine these extreme events and their potential implications for Israel, and prepare for them. The fourth section of the chapter presents ten core recommendations for Israel’s national security policy in 2019 and beyond.