Publications
Strategic Survey for Israel 2016-2017, eds. Anat Kurz and Shlomo Brom, Tel Aviv: Institute for National Security Studies, 2016

This article focuses on the agreement signed by Iran and the major powers in July 2015 concerning the Iranian nuclear program, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). the article concludes that Iran’s compliance with the JCPOA in the year since it was signed is not a surprise, and should not be regarded as grounds for overconfidence. Rather, at the end of the agreement period, Iran will still have an advanced nuclear program, and when the technical restrictions stated in the agreement are removed, the time required for Iran to break out to a nuclear bomb will be significantly reduced. Accordingly, Israel would do well to take advantage of the existing regional circumstances to forge ties with Arab countries fearful of Iran’s rising power for the purpose of formulating a comprehensive regional agenda. Another recommendation is for Israel to continue working with the United States administration to improve its defensive capability against ballistic missiles.