Strategic Assessment

Let me begin by underlining the intellectual humility necessary when attempting to analyze enemies and adversaries in times of uncertainty, such as today. I say this neither out of lip service to a slogan nor as a platitude for the record, rather because I believe it is true. Our world is not a traditional world like the one in which we lived during the “second wave” era. It is characterized by ups and downs and far-reaching changes. We must therefore be modest enough to appreciate the difficulties involved in gathering information, making assessments, and understanding the complex and integrated processes that impact on us.