Strategic Assessment

This past year was particularly productive for Iran’s missile and space program. Overall, however, here is little solid information about the Iranian missile threat, and much of the information appearing in the media is based on more or less reasonable estimates. When a nation attempts to deal with an external threat, relying on ominous estimates is only logical. Yet just as there is a price for relying on rosier estimates, relying on the dire ones also carries a cost – constructing defenses against what turns out to be a nonexistent or reduced threat.