Strategic Assessment

The memorandum proposes a research framework for analyzing and understanding a major strategic challenge facing the State of Israel: an accelerating slide toward a “one-state” reality between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea. Such an outcome is expected to severely undermine the Zionist vision of a Jewish, democratic, secure, and prosperous state. The memorandum examines the main drivers pushing Israel toward a one-state model. These include the erosion of the two-state paradigm; the weakening of the Palestinian Authority; settlement, outposts and farms expansion in Judea and Samaria; and the growing intermingling of Israeli and Palestinian populations. The memorandum outlines several plausible scenarios for a one-state reality, concluding that such a development would likely trigger violent escalation, severely damage Israel’s international standing, and lead to a breakdown of Israeli social cohesion and economic stability. To prevent this trajectory, the authors recommend advancing political, geographic, and demographic separation steps from the Palestinians; strengthening the Palestinian Authority as the only viable partner for cooperation; maintaining Israel’s overriding security responsibility; and mobilizing moderate Arab states to promote normalization, support and improve the Palestinian economy.

Even if the regime manages to overcome the current crisis temporarily, roughly half a century after the revolution, the Second Iranian Republic appears to be approaching its historical end. What might the Third Republic look like?

The laser is an auxiliary tool on the modern battlefield, used either as a weapon—such as a high-power laser—or as a supporting means, such as a target designator or range finder. One of the most prominent uses of lasers is as a type of sensor, or a kind of sensitive radar, for detecting stationary or moving objects and for highly accurate area mapping, in a system known as LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging).