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Strategic Assessment

Home Strategic Assessment Israeli Strategy for What Follows the Sykes-Picot Era

Israeli Strategy for What Follows the Sykes-Picot Era

Research Forum | April 2015
Ron Tira

This article analyzes the regional theater amid the reality of a fading Sykes-Picot system, particularly the state-based rationale and the borders delineated by the Sykes-Picot agreement, and proposes an Israeli strategy for this new environment. With the weakening of the state framework of many Arab countries, the new regional system now comprises four nation states, i.e., Israel, Egypt, Iran, and Turkey; southern monarchies fighting for their survival; and numerous non-state actors that are filling the vacuum left by the disintegrating states. The Arab-Israeli conflict – with the notable exception of the Palestinian component – has also ebbed, and the new fault line lies between the status quo actors and those that seek to forcibly impose nonconsensual changes in reality – Iran, and to a lesser extent Turkey and Qatar, the jihadists, and some of the Palestinians. Israel, as an actor with limited resources and few capabilities in the political engineering of third parties, must focus on a defensive “wall strategy.” However, the new reality also enables unprecedented cooperation with regional players, including in the effort to contain Iran. Yet at the same time, Israel must build up its force for a possible direct confrontation with Iran.


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  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • War with Iran
      • Iran
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
      • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
      • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
      • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
      • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
      • Turkey
      • Egypt
      • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
      • Military and Strategic Affairs
      • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
      • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
      • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
      • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
      • Data Analytics Center
      • Law and National Security
      • Advanced Technologies and National Security
      • Cognitive Warfare
      • Economics and National Secutiry
    • Projects
      • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
      • Contemporary Antisemitism in the United States
      • Perceptions about Jews and Israel in the Arab-Muslim World and Their Impact on the West
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    • INSS Insight
    • Policy Papers
    • Special Publication
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