Strategic Assessment

In recent months there has been increased public discussion in the United States about military action against Iranian nuclear sites, bet it by the US or by Israel. While the US has in principle not ruled out a military attack on Iran, in practice it has evinced major reluctance, and Israel will have a hard time carrying it out without a green light from the US. In order for the administration to consider the military option positively, a change is needed in its assessment of the balance of chances and risks of the action, and the amount of domestic and international support for it. This article examines American and Israeli considerations concerning military action against Iran, and reviews how the American position may affect Israel’s considerations.