INSS October 2025 Public Opinion Survey: In the Shadow of the Ceasefire Agreement | INSS
go to header go to content go to footer go to search
INSS logo The Institute for National Security Studies, Strategic, Innovative, Policy-Oriented Research, go to the home page
INSS
Tel Aviv University logo - beyond an external website, opens on a new page
  • Campus
  • Contact
  • עברית
  • Support Us
  • Research
    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
        • Israel-United States Relations
        • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
        • Russia
        • Europe
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
        • Iran
        • The Israel–Iran War
        • Lebanon and Hezbollah
        • Syria
        • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
        • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
        • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
        • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
        • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
        • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
        • Turkey
        • Egypt
        • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
        • Military and Strategic Affairs
        • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
        • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
        • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
        • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
        • Data Analytics Center
        • Law and National Security
        • Advanced Technologies and National Security
        • Cognitive Warfare
        • Economics and National Security
    • Projects
      • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
      • Contemporary Antisemitism in the United States
      • Perceptions about Jews and Israel in the Arab-Muslim World and Their Impact on the West
  • Publications
    • -
      • All Publications
      • INSS Insight
      • Policy Papers
      • Special Publication
      • Strategic Assessment
      • Technology Platform
      • Memoranda
      • Posts
      • Books
      • Archive
  • Database
    • Surveys
    • Spotlight
    • Maps
    • Dashboards
  • Events
  • Team
  • About
    • Vision and Mission
    • History
    • Research Disciplines
    • Board of Directors
    • Fellowship and Prizes
    • Internships
    • Newsletter
  • Media
    • Communications
    • Video gallery
    • Press Releases
  • Podcast
  • Newsletter
  • Campus
Search in site
  • Research
    • Topics
    • Israel and the Global Powers
    • Israel-United States Relations
    • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
    • Russia
    • Europe
    • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
    • Iran
    • The Israel–Iran War
    • Lebanon and Hezbollah
    • Syria
    • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
    • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
    • Conflict to Agreements
    • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
    • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
    • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
    • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
    • Turkey
    • Egypt
    • Jordan
    • Israel’s National Security Policy
    • Military and Strategic Affairs
    • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
    • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
    • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
    • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
    • Cross-Arena Research
    • Data Analytics Center
    • Law and National Security
    • Advanced Technologies and National Security
    • Cognitive Warfare
    • Economics and National Security
    • Projects
    • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
    • Contemporary Antisemitism in the United States
    • Perceptions about Jews and Israel in the Arab-Muslim World and Their Impact on the West
  • Publications
    • All Publications
    • INSS Insight
    • Policy Papers
    • Special Publication
    • Strategic Assessment
    • Technology Platform
    • Memoranda
    • Posts
    • Books
    • Archive
  • Database
    • Surveys
    • Spotlight
    • Maps
    • Dashboards
  • Events
  • Team
  • About
    • Vision and Mission
    • History
    • Research Disciplines
    • Board of Directors
    • Fellowship and Prizes
    • Internships
    • Privacy Policy and Terms of Use
  • Media
    • Communications
    • Video gallery
    • Press Releases
  • Podcast
  • Newsletter
  • Campus
  • Contact
  • עברית
  • Support Us
bool(false)

Publications

Home Publications Surveys - Data Analytics Center INSS October 2025 Public Opinion Survey: In the Shadow of the Ceasefire Agreement

INSS October 2025 Public Opinion Survey: In the Shadow of the Ceasefire Agreement

Survey, November 3, 2025

עברית
Mora Deitch
Idit Shafran Gittleman
Abir Gitlin
Gal Shani

Table of Contents:

Since the outbreak of the war in Gaza, the Institute for National Security Studies has been regularly conducting public opinion surveys to assess attitudes toward key national security issues, national resilience, and public trust.[1]

Click here to download the complete survey data | Click here to view the trends among the Jewish public  | Click here to view the trends among the Arab public

Key Findings

  • The IDF and the military echelon continue to enjoy high levels of public trust, while trust in the political echelon remains low.
  • A large majority supports an agreement to end the war in Gaza, but most of the public is skeptical that it will lead to many years of quiet.
  • With the end of the war, the public supports establishing a state commission of inquiry and holding early elections.

Trust in Leaders and Institutions

Key Findings:

The Military Echelon

  • A majority of the Israeli public, at 78%, expresses high trust in the IDF, showing no significant change compared to the last three months (75%–77%), since peaking at 83% during the war against Iran (Operation Rising Lion) in June 2025. Among the Jewish public, trust in the IDF remains very high at 90% in this survey, compared to 86% previously, while among the Arab public it remains very low at 32%.
  • A majority of the public also has high trust in the Air Force—88% among Jews and 34% among Arabs—with no significant change from the August survey. This represents a slight decline from the peak during Operation Rising Lion (83% overall; 93% among Jews; 42% among Arabs in June 2025).
  • A majority of the public expresses high trust in the Military Intelligence Directorate—64% overall; 72% among Jews and 30% among Arabs—a significant decline compared to June, during Operation Rising Lion (74% overall; 83% among Jews; 39% among Arabs).
  • A majority of the public, at 57%, has high trust in the IDF Spokesperson’s reports, while 24% express moderate trust, and 16% have low trust. The data has remained nearly unchanged over the past three months (56–57%), following the peak of 67.5% recorded during Operation Rising Lion in June 2025.
  • There has been a slight increase in trust toward IDF Chief of Staff, Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, rising from 58% in September to 63% in October. The increase stems mainly from the Jewish public (from 68% to 75%), while trust among the Arab public remains very low and largely unchanged (21%).

The Political Echelon

  • Only 27% of Israelis express high trust in the Israeli government (32% among Jews and only 8% among Arabs), compared to 72% whose trust is low. Trust in the government remains unchanged from the previous month but is slightly higher than in July–August when it was 23%. Among coalition voters, 63% express high trust in the government, compared to only 5% among opposition voters.
  • Only 33% of the public has high trust in the prime minister (39% among Jews and 7% among Arabs), compared to 66% who express low trust. Here too, there has been no change since Operation Rising Lion in June. Among coalition voters, 76% express high trust in the prime minister, compared to just 6% among opposition voters.

Ceasefire Agreement in Gaza

Key Findings:

  • An overwhelming majority of the Israeli public supports an agreement to end the war in Gaza: 76% in favor, 11% opposed, and 13% responded “Don’t know.” Among the Jewish public, support stands at 73%, compared to 88% among the Arab public. Notably, a majority of coalition voters (57%) support the agreement, compared to 91% among opposition voters.
  • Half of the Israeli public believes that neither side won the war. Another 30% of the public thinks Israel won, 11% believes Hamas won, and 3% thinks that both sides won to an equal degree.
  • The Israeli public is divided over the achievement of the war’s objectives: 44% of the public believes that the war’s goals were achieved (3% “completely,” 41% “to a great extent”), compared to 46% of the public who thinks otherwise (34% “to a small extent,” 12% “not at all”).
  • Public satisfaction with Israel’s operational achievements in Gaza is limited: 38% of the public is satisfied with Israel’s operational achievements in Gaza (“to a great or very great extent”), 33% is moderately satisfied, and 19% has low or very low satisfaction.
  • Only 26% of the public believes that the ceasefire agreement will lead to many years of security calm (“to a great or very great extent”), while a majority, at 60%, thinks it will lead to little or no long-term calm.
  • Half of the public thinks that an event similar to October 7 could occur again from the Gaza border in the coming years, while 37% considers such a scenario unlikely.

Elections and a State Commission of Inquiry

Key Findings:

  • About three out of four Israelis (74%) support establishing a state commission of inquiry, compared to only 17% who oppose it. Support is broad even among coalition voters (52%), but particularly high among opposition voters (92%).
  • A majority of the Israeli public (53%) believes that elections should be moved up following the end of the war, while 39% thinks the war’s conclusion should not affect the election timetable. Support for early elections is very low among coalition voters (16%) and much higher among opposition voters (78%).

Military Service

Key Findings:

  • Only 23% of the Israeli public believes that the defense minister’s decision to freeze IDF appointments was made for professional reasons (“to a great or very great extent”), compared to 55% of the public who thinks it was done “to a small or very small extent.” 22% responded “Don’t know.”
  • A majority of the public (68%) oppose legislation that would exempt most of the ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) public from military service (“strongly oppose” or “somewhat oppose”), compared to 20% who support it (“strongly support” or “somewhat support”) Only 12% responded “Don’t know.”

Establishment of a Palestinian State

Key Findings:

  • A majority of Israelis (57%) oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state under any circumstances, compared to 30% who support it “under certain conditions,” and 14% who responded, “Don’t know.” Among the Jewish public, 68% oppose a Palestinian state under any circumstances, and only 19% support it. Among the Arab public, 70% support the establishment of a Palestinian state, and only 13% oppose it.

Iran

Key Findings:

  • There is high concern about the possibility of another confrontation with Iran in the near future: 62% of the public are very or somewhat concerned, compared to 33% who are not very or not at all concerned.

Israel–United States Relations

Key Findings:

  • Half of the Israeli public believes that US President Donald Trump supports Israel only when it serves his own interests. Only 34% thinks Trump is strongly committed to Israel’s security, while 11% views him as an unpredictable leader who is difficult to rely on.

The Resilience of Israeli Society

Key Findings:

  • The Israeli public believes that Israel faces many urgent challenges. When asked, “What do you think is Israel’s most urgent task the day after the ceasefire?” 29% answered “Healing and unifying Israeli society.” 10% said “Restoring Israel’s international standing.” 9% answered “Readiness for renewed fighting or other security developments.” 4% said “Preventing the establishment of a Palestinian state.” Another 40% responded “All tasks are equally urgent.”
  • Some 39% believes that the resilience of Israeli society has weakened compared to before the war, 33% thinks it has strengthened, and 20% believes it has remained unchanged.
  • A majority of the public, at 60%, is very concerned about Israel’s social situation after the war, 25% is moderately concerned, and 11% is slightly or not concerned at all.
  • A majority of the public, at 66%, is optimistic about Israeli society’s ability to recover and grow after the crisis (“somewhat optimistic” or “very optimistic”), compared to 28% of the public who feels pessimistic (“somewhat pessimistic” or “very pessimistic”).
  • Only 37% of the public reports a high or very high sense of personal security, 43% claims a moderate sense, and 19% reports a low or very low sense of security. This marks an increase in personal security compared to the previous month—before the Gaza ceasefire—when only 29% reported a high or very high sense of personal security.

________________________

[1] The survey was conducted between October 9–13, 2025, under the direction of the Data Analytics Center at INSS. Fieldwork was carried out by iPanel and included online interviews with 802 respondents in Hebrew and 144 in Arabic. The sample represents the adult population of Israel, aged 18 and over. The maximum sampling error for the total sample is ±3.18%, with a 95% confidence level.

The opinions expressed in INSS publications are the authors’ alone.
Publication Series Database
TopicsData Analytics CenterSwords of Iron WarSocietal Resilience and the Israeli Society
עברית

Events

All events
Iran in Africa: Global Reach Regional Impact and Israeli Implications
26 October, 2025
14:00 - 17:00

Related Publications

All publications
Swords of Iron: Dashboard
The Data Analytics Center at the INSS provides accurate and updated data during the Swords of Iron War
19/10/25
Swords of Iron Survey: Palestinian Public Opinion in the West Bank
16/10/25
INSS September 2025 Survey: Two Years Since the Swords of Iron War
03/10/25

Stay up to date

Registration was successful! Thanks.
  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • Iran
      • The Israel–Iran War
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
      • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
      • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
      • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
      • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
      • Turkey
      • Egypt
      • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
      • Military and Strategic Affairs
      • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
      • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
      • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
      • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
      • Data Analytics Center
      • Law and National Security
      • Advanced Technologies and National Security
      • Cognitive Warfare
      • Economics and National Security
    • Projects
      • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
      • Contemporary Antisemitism in the United States
      • Perceptions about Jews and Israel in the Arab-Muslim World and Their Impact on the West
  • Publications

    • All Publications
    • INSS Insight
    • Policy Papers
    • Special Publication
    • Strategic Assessment
    • Technology Platform
    • Memoranda
    • Database
    • Posts
    • Books
    • Archive
  • About

    • Vision and Mission
    • History
    • Research Disciplines
    • Board of Directors
    • Fellowship and Prizes
    • Internships
    • Support
    • Privacy Policy and Terms of Use
  • Media

    • Communications
    • Video Gallery
    • Press Release
    • Podcast
  • Home

  • Events

  • Database

  • Team

  • Contact

  • Newsletter

  • עברית

INSS logo The Institute for National Security Studies, Strategic, Innovative, Policy-Oriented Research, go to the home page
40 Haim Levanon St. Tel Aviv, 6997556 Israel | Tel: 03-640-0400 | Fax: 03-744-7590 | Email: info@inss.org.il
Developed by Daat A Realcommerce company.
Accessibility Statement
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.