Publications
in Strategic Survey for Israel 2012-2013, eds. Anat Kurz and Shlomo Brom, Tel Aviv: Institute for National Security Studies, 2013

Tthis article surveys the impact of the “Arab Spring” on Jordan’s relations with the United States and Israel on the one hand, and with the Gulf states on the other. It will also analyze the changes on the domestic scene during this period, and the regime’s response to the challenge posed by pressures from both the Islamist and the Transjordanian sectors, the latter being its veteran stronghold. The main conclusion of the essay is that even if the Hashemite regime does not currently face a tangible threat of collapse, its ability to govern and take decisions in the political, diplomatic, and socio-economic realms has significantly eroded since the end of King Hussein’s reign. As much as it can, Israel would do well to work to strengthen the pragmatic, liberalreformist school within the monarchy’s elite, in order to ensure Jordan’s internal stability and thus the survivability of the Hashemite regime.