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Home Publications Chapters How does the agreement impact on the possibility of greater Iranian involvement in terror?

How does the agreement impact on the possibility of greater Iranian involvement in terror?

Institute for National Security Studies, July 2015

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Yoram Schweitzer
Benedetta Berti
The nuclear agreement with Iran Reflections and forecasts. Photo: Image Bank

It is important to be clear about what issues were part of the negotiations with Iran. The country’s role in Syria and its support for different terrorist organizations in the Middle East were not at any point discussed in the negotiations, nor was it part of the agreement signed in Vienna. Similarly, progress on the nuclear file was not made conditional upon Iran changing its regional policy. Therefore, those who are expecting to see a significant change in Iranian policies are likely to be disappointed. The fear is that despite optimistic public statements by Western states on hoped-for change in Iranian policy, the nuclear deal gives Iran de facto recognition of its role as a threshold nuclear power and of its hegemony in the Gulf. With that, there is in practice implicit Western acquiescence to Iran’s support ─ through training, arming and financing ─ of Hizbollah, Hamas, and other groups. Supporters of the nuclear deal counter-argue that the agreement on nuclear proliferation should be looked at separately and that it does not change the international condemnation for Iranian support of terrorism or for its role in Syria. In fact, following an agreement, Iran can be expected to see substantial financial gains as a result of the unfreezing of its assets and bank accounts, removal of restrictions on commerce, and the opening of its market to the outside world. This will allow Iran to increase its support for terror organizations and provide them with money, equipment, and greater and more sophisticated weapons than in the past. In addition, a nuclear agreement that fully ignores Iran’s terror policy is an alarming sign of the status of deterrence capabilities of Western states, first and foremost the US, set against the Iranian regime’s policy of terror proliferation in a way that threatens the stability of the Middle East and Israel’s borders.

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  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Antisemitism and Delegitimization
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • The Campaign Against Iran and the Shiite Axis
      • Iran
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
      • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
      • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
      • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
      • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
      • Turkey
      • Egypt
      • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
      • Military and Strategic Affairs
      • Israel's Security Strategy
      • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
      • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
      • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
      • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
      • Data Analytics Center
      • Law and National Security
      • Advanced Technologies and National Security
      • Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference
      • Economics and National Security
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      • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
      • India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC)
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