Moderator: Amb. Dr. Oded Eran
Dr. Stanley Fischer, Dr. Michael Doran, Prof. Irina Zvyagelskaya, and Amb. Andreas Michaelis
In a panel on the “World Order: Strategic Competition and Dysfunction,” moderated by Amb. Dr. Oded Eran, the panelists discussed events that they think will influence the coming decade. Dr. Michael Doran believed that we need to worry about a Chinese-Iranian alliance that could control Europe’s resources in the Persian Gulf. He warned that Israel specifically should worry about the United States abandoning the region, leaving Israel alone to face Iran and its nuclear capacity as well as its exploitation of the Middle East. Prof. Irina Zvyagelskaya stated that the collapse of strategic agreements, such as START, is most dangerous for the whole world. Dr. Stanley Fischer warned that the bipartisan weakening of the United States will affect the world economy, as the United States is reducing its role in the world and we do not know how the new global economy will work. Amb. Andreas Michaelis expressed the view from Europe, that the disintegration of the European Union is concerning, but that he is confident that it will survive Brexit. When asked about geopolitical risks in the next decade and the impact they will have on our lives, Amb. Michaelis showed concern that migration will be an enormous challenge. Dr. Fischer believed that that a global recession will affect us, while Prof. Zvyagelskaya cautioned us that the new generation is dissatisfied and will have an impact in all countries. Dr. Doran warned that cyber will affect us most, as the internet has led to very different perceptions between people.