Flash Survey Findings—One Month into Operation Roaring Lion
31/03/26 Reuters (Modified by INSS)
Syria in the Shadow of the War with Iran: Repositioning and Exploiting Regional Opportunities
What are the implications of the campaign in Iran for Damascus, how is the al-Sharaa regime working to exploit new opportunities, and what should Israel be paying attention to?
31/03/26 Shutterstock
Principles for an Israeli Strategy to Address the Iranian Nuclear Threat at the End of the War
Although we are currently in the midst of a war and do not yet know how it will end, the US negotiations initiative—which may bring the campaign to an end—requires a clear definition of Israel’s interest regarding the Iranian nuclear project.
The conclusion of Operation Roaring Lion will place Israel and the international community before a new strategic reality vis-à-vis Iran. The regime in Tehran, if it survives the war, may—after experiencing systemic trauma and damage to its senior leadership—adopt a national security doctrine that relies on nuclear weapons as its sole existential deterrent capability. Under these circumstances, it is essential to ensure that Iran retains no nuclear capability that could serve as a foundation for a military nuclear program. This paper argues that previous models of “risk management” (such as the JCPOA, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) are no longer relevant. Therefore, Israel must insist on the complete dismantling of Iran’s uranium enrichment infrastructure and relevant technological capabilities as a necessary condition for ending the war, whether by diplomatic or military means.
31/03/26 
