Strategic Assessment

At every point that it has faced a major crossroads, Hezbollah has chosen to close ranks with the Lebanese state. This process has consistently obligated the organization to temper the influence of the Islamic-Shiite agenda on its decision making, and encourage it to take instrumental, utilitarian, and calculated action to achieve its goals. In this way, Hezbollah has gradually consolidated its grip on the elements of internal power in Lebanon through the political system by means of rapid military and economic buildup. The switch to activity of a state-like character required a more responsible policy on the part of Hezbollah, due to the range of new considerations in its decision making process. In addition, Hezbollah was required to adapt quickly to new situations and exhibit flexibility in face of pressures leveled on it. Understanding how the organization has integrated into Lebanon is important for the overall understanding of Hezbollah’s operations and an assessment of how this may alter the organization’s future strategy.