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Home Publications Surveys - Data Analytics Center INSS September 2025 Survey: Two Years Since the Swords of Iron War

INSS September 2025 Survey: Two Years Since the Swords of Iron War

Survey, October 3, 2025

עברית
Mora Deitch
Idit Shafran Gittleman
Abir Gitlin
Gal Shani

Table of Contents:

Since the outbreak of the war in Gaza, the Institute for National Security Studies has been regularly conducting public opinion surveys to assess attitudes toward key national security issues, national resilience, and public trust.[1]

Click here to download the complete survey data |  To the survey results in Arabic - نتائج الاستطلاع باللغة العربية | Click here to view the trends among the Jewish public  | Click here to view the trends among the Arab public

Key Findings

  • Nearly two years into the war in Gaza, most Israelis (66%) report that their trust in the IDF has either remained the same or increased since the beginning of the war, while about one-third (31%) of Israelis say their trust has decreased.
  • A majority of the population (63%) reports that their trust in the Israeli government has decreased since the beginning of the war, compared with 35% of the public who says it has remained stable or increased.
  • A large majority of Israelis (72%) are only slightly or very dissatisfied with the way the government is handling the war in Gaza. In contrast, the majority (57%) of the population is very satisfied or quite satisfied with the IDF’s handling of the war in Gaza.
  • Israelis are divided on the country’s overall situation: 43% of Israelis believe it has improved since October 7, compared with 42.5% of the public who believes it has worsened.
  • A majority of Israelis (51%) fear that an event similar to October 7 could happen again on the Gaza border.
  • Most of the public believes the IDF is well or very well prepared to defend communities in the north (53.5%) and the south (57%) against an attack in the coming years, but there is greater skepticism regarding the defense of settlements in Judea and Samaria, with only 39% believing the IDF is prepared.
  • Jewish Israelis are split on occupying Gaza City: 46% support it, while 45% oppose it.
  • A majority of Israelis at 64% believe the time has come to end the war in Gaza.
  • A majority of the public at 57% assesses that government decisions during the war were based to a low or very low extent on security considerations alone.
  • A majority of the population, at 60%, is concerned about the possibility of international recognition of a Palestinian state.

Trust in Institutions

Key Findings:

Trust in the Military Leadership

  • The IDF continues to enjoy high and stable trust: Three out of four Israelis (75%) express high trust, similar to the results in August. Among Jews, the figure is very high (86%), while among Arabs it remains very low (29%).
  • Trust in the Chief of Staff, Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, stands at 58%, stable compared with August (60%). Among Jews, 68% express high trust, compared with only 19% among Arabs.
  • Trust in the IDF spokesperson’s reports also remains stable compared with August, standing at 56%. Among Jews, 64% express high trust, compared with just 21% among Arabs. A majority of Arabs (59%) express low trust in the IDF spokesperson.
  • Trust in the IDF senior command has risen compared with last year: 59% of Israelis express high or very high trust, compared with 37% who express little or no trust. This is a slight increase from October 2024 (52% high trust vs. 42% low trust).
  • Trust in the IDF’s investigatory and lessons-learned processes has declined: Only 37% of Israelis express high or very high trust, while a majority of the public at 60% expresses low or no trust at all. Among Jews, 41% now express high or very high trust in this area—down sharply from 66.5% in November 2023.

Trust in the Political Leadership

  • Trust in the Israeli government remains stable but low: Only 26% of the public expresses high trust, unchanged since August. Among Jews the figure is 30%, compared with just 9% among Arabs (88% of Arabs express low or no trust).
  • Trust in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains stable but low: Only 30% of Israelis express high trust. Among Jews, the figure is 36%; among Arabs, only 5%.
  • While trust in the IDF remains very high across political lines (81% of coalition voters and 80% of opposition voters express high trust), trust in the government reflects public’s division along political lines—only 7% of opposition voters express high trust in the government, compared with 55% of coalition voters. Yet, distrust within the coalition is growing, with 43% of coalition voters now expressing little or no trust in the government.

Two Years into the Swords of Iron War

 

Key Findings:

  • Most Israelis report their trust in the IDF has remained the same (48%) or has increased (18%) since the beginning of the war, while 31% say it has decreased.
  • A majority of Israelis report their trust in the government has declined (63%), compared with 35% who say it has remained stable or increased (24% and 11%, respectively).
  • Assessments of Israel’s security situation are divided: 43% believe it has improved since October 7, while 42.5% believe it has worsened.
  • A majority of the public (51%) fears another October 7–type event will occur on the Gaza border. Most believe the IDF is well or very well prepared to defend northern (53.5%) and southern (57%) communities, but only 39% think it can defend the settlements in Judea and Samaria.
  • A majority of the public (57%) believes to low or very low extent that the government decisions during the war were based on security considerations alone, compared with 37.5% who thinks otherwise.

The Gaza Front

Key Findings:

  • Declining belief in an IDF victory: A majority of the public at 58% is certain or believes the IDF will win the war in Gaza—a drop of 8% since August at 66%. Another 31% of Israelis believe the IDF will not win. Among Jews, 66% believe in a victory, compared with only 24% of Arabs—down sharply from 92% on October 15, 2023.
  • Declining belief that the war’s goals will be achieved: Only 44.5% of Israelis believe the goals of the war can be achieved fully or to a great extent, compared with 50% who think otherwise.
  • A large majority of the public (72%) is dissatisfied with the government’s handling of the Gaza war (69% of Jews, 85% of Arabs), while 25% is satisfied. By contrast, 57% is satisfied with the IDF’s handling (66% of Jews, 19% of Arabs), compared with 40% dissatisfied.
  • The public is divided over resuming the Gaza: 46% of Jews support occupying Gaza City (28% strongly, 18% somewhat), while 45% are opposed (19% somewhat oppose, 26% strongly oppose). Among Jews, support is 56%, compared with only 9% among Arabs. Among coalition voters, 85% support the operation, while only 24% of opposition voters do (68% oppose).
  • Some 44% of the public believes the attack on Hamas’s leadership in Qatar did not advance any of the war’s goals. 25% believes it advanced both goals (toppling Hamas and returning the hostages), 21% believes it advanced only the goal of toppling Hamas rule, and just 2% believes it advanced only the return of the hostages.
  • A growing share of the public believes it is time to end the war in Gaza: 64% of all respondents and 57% of Jews hold this view, compared with 60.5% and 49% in June and January 2025, respectively. Among opposition voters, 85% support ending the war, compared with 35% of coalition voters.

Recognition of a Palestinian State

Key Findings:

  • The public expresses concern over possible international recognition of a Palestinian state: 60% is worried (29% very worried, 31% somewhat worried). 17% is not so worried, and 20% is not worried at all.

 

The Resilience of Israeli Society

Key Findings:

  • 65% of Israelis are worried about the social situation of Israel after the war (42% very worried, 23% somewhat worried). 19% are moderately worried, 6% slightly worried, and 8% not worried at all.
  • 45% of the public believes solidarity has weakened (27.5% somewhat, 17.5% very much). Only 27% believes it has strengthened (22% somewhat, 5% very much)—a sharp drop compared with 48% during Operation Rising Lion against Iran three months ago.
  • 58% of Israelis are more concerned about internal socio-national threats within Israel (a 10% rise since August 2024), compared with 30% who are more concerned about external security threats. 8% are not worried about either.
  • Only 29% of the public reports a high or very high sense of personal security, 43% feels a medium level, and 27% reports low or very low security. These figures remain stable compared with the previous month.

________________________

[1] This survey was conducted between September 11–14, 2025, under the direction of the INSS Data Analytics Center. Fieldwork was carried out by iPanel, through online interviews with 802 Hebrew speakers and 150 Arabic speakers, representing a sample of the adult Israeli population aged 18 and over. The data were weighted by sector. The maximum sampling error for the overall sample is ±3.2% at a 95% confidence level.

The opinions expressed in INSS publications are the authors’ alone.
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