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Swords of Iron Survey Results - May 2025
Survey, June 5, 2025
Table of Contents:
Since the outbreak of the war in Gaza, the Institute for National Security Studies has been regularly conducting public opinion surveys to assess attitudes toward key national security issues, national resilience, and public trust.[1]
Click here to download the complete survey data | To the survey results in Arabic - نتائج الاستطلاع باللغة العربية | Click here to view the trends among the Jewish public | Click here to view the trends among the Arab public
Trust in Persons and Institutions
Key Findings:
- 75.5% of the Israeli public continues to express high trust in the IDF (88% among the Jewish public and 26% among the Arab public), alongside a continued upward trend in trusting Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir (56% of all respondents, 67.5% among the Jewish public).
- 77% of the Israeli public continues to have very low or no trust in the Israeli government (74% among the Jewish public and 93% among the Arab public), while 72% of the Israeli public express low or no trust in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (66% among the Jewish public and 94% among the Arab public).
- 55% of the Israeli public expresses a high level of trust in the reports issued by the IDF spokesperson during the fighting in Gaza (64% among the Jewish public and 17.5% among the Arab public).
Gaza Front
Key Findings:
- 61% of the Israeli public believes that the IDF will win the war in Gaza, compared to 30.5% who thinks that the IDF will not win the war.
- 46% believes that the goals of the war in Gaza will be achieved in full or to a fairly large extent, compared to 48% who thinks that the goals of the fighting in Gaza will be achieved only to a small extent or not at all.
- 47.5% of the Israeli public is somewhat or very much opposed to the resumption of fighting in Gaza as part of Operation Gideon's Chariots, compared to 43.5% of the public who is somewhat or very supportive of it.
- 38% of the Israeli public thinks that the IDF’s current course of action in Gaza will not lead to either the collapse of Hamas’s rule or the return of the hostages; 28% believes that the operation advances the achievement of both goals; 3% thinks that it will only bring about the return of the hostages; and 23% expects that it will only advance the collapse of Hamas’s rule.
- 64.5% of the Israeli public is not at all or not very concerned about the humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip.
- In response to what the reality in Gaza should be the day after the war, 42% of the Israeli public supports a technocratic government without Hamas, backed by an inter-Arab or international force; 23.5% favors the return of Jewish settlement in Gaza; 16% prefers a prolonged Israeli military government; and 10.5% supports transferring control of the Gaza Strip to the Palestinian Authority (PA).
- In response to whether the public supports or opposes the Egyptian plan—which includes ending the war and returning all the hostages; establishing a technocratic administration to manage the Strip without Hamas in preparation for the return of the PA’s rule in the Strip and steps to establish a Palestinian state; training a Palestinian police force under inter-Arab sponsorship; and providing regional and international funding for the reconstruction of the Strip—59% of the Israeli public is somewhat supportive or very supportive of the Egyptian plan, compared to 33% who is somewhat opposed or very opposed.
The Northern Front
Key Findings:
- Regarding how Israel should respond to recent developments in Syria, 42% of the public believes that the IDF should gradually withdraw from Syria as part of a security arrangement with the new regime, under international guarantees to secure the border. Another 34% thinks that the IDF should maintain a permanent presence in southern Syria, while 11% believes that the IDF should immediately withdraw from Syrian territory and rely on the existing ceasefire agreement.
- As for whether Israel should intervene on behalf of the Druze should a conflict break out between the regime in Syria and the Druze population, 41% thinks that Israel should apply diplomatic pressure to stop the conflict; 26% believes that Israel should be prohibited from intervening in internal conflicts in Syria; 21.5% thinks that Israel should use military force against the regime; and 11.5% does not know whether Israel should intervene for the benefit of the Druze.
- 60% of the Israeli public believes that the Israeli government should work to establish direct relations with the new regime in Syria. In contrast, 20% believes that it should not, and another 20% does not know.
- 55.5% of the Israeli public is satisfied to a great extent or very much with how the ceasefire agreement in the north has been enforced so far, compared to 23.5% who is only slightly or not at all satisfied.
Recruitment and Reserve Duty
Key Findings:
- 55% of the Jewish public has little confidence in the IDF reports regarding the issuance and enforcement of recruitment orders for the ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) public, compared to 38% who has high or very high confidence.
- 60.5% of the Jewish public believes that the Israeli government is responsibility for the low rate of ultra-Orthodox enlistment in the army, while 10.5% thinks the IDF is responsible, and 24% blame “other” factors.
- 55.5% of the Jewish public would encourage a family member who had served as a combatant in the reserves during the war to report for another round of reserve duty if called up, compared to 27.5% who would not encourage it.
- 54% of the Jewish public believes that it is inappropriate to refuse to participate in combat due to fear of harming the hostages, while 28% thinks the opposite.
- 74% of the Jewish public believes that it is inappropriate to punish reserve soldiers who refuse another combat duty due to exhaustion, compared to 17% who supports punitive measures.
Israel’s Foreign Relations
Key Findings:
- 41% of the Israeli public believes that the joint statement issued by the leaders of Britain, France, and Canada about the current escalation in Gaza being disproportionate to the October 7 attack reflects a lack of understanding of reality. Another 31% of the Israeli public thinks that the statement expresses biased hostility toward Israel, while 19% considers the statement a correct representation of reality.
- There has been an increase in the percentage of the Israeli public who is very or somewhat concerned about the possible international isolation of Israel—at 64% in the current survey, compared to 55% in July 2024. In contrast, 31% of the Israeli public is somewhat unconcerned or not at all concerned.
- 46% of the Israeli public agrees that Israel is missing a historic opportunity to be part of a regional arrangement led by President Trump, compared to 39% who thinks that Israel should continue fighting in Gaza until the collapse of Hamas’s regime, even if this means remaining outside the Trump-led regional arrangement.
- 49% of the Israeli public believes that US President Donald Trump’s visit to the Middle East did not change Israel’s political and security situation, compared to 28% who thinks that the visit worsened the situation, and 11% who believes that the visit improved Israel’s situation.
- 51.5% of the Israeli public believes that Trump supports Israel only when it serves his own interests; 20% thinks he is very committed to protecting Israel’s interests; and 23% believes that he is unpredictable and therefore difficult to trust on security issues.
- 58.5% of the Israeli public considers the peace agreement with Egypt to be very stable or fairly stable, compared to 35% who believes it is not.
Resilience
Key Findings:
- 28.5% of the Israeli public reports a high or very high sense of personal security; 45% indicates a moderate sense of personal security; and 25.5% claims a low sense of security.
- 63% of the Israeli public expresses optimism regarding Israeli society’s ability to recover from the crisis and grow, compared to 34% who indicates pessimism.
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[1] The survey was conducted from May 22–26, 2025, by the Data Analytics Center at the Institute for National Security Studies. The fieldwork was carried out by iPanel and included online interviews with 803 Jewish respondents and 149 Arab respondents, forming a representative sample of the adult Israeli population aged 18 and above. Weighting was applied to ensure a balanced ratio between sectors. The maximum sampling error for the full sample is ±3.2% at a 95% confidence level.