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Home Posts Saudi Arabia and Pakistan: An End to Ambiguity?

Saudi Arabia and Pakistan: An End to Ambiguity?
Yoel Guzansky
18 September, 2025

The relationship between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan has for many years symbolized strategic ambiguity, where much was hidden from view: Generous Saudi funding, oil credit, and economic support were tied to covert security ties, with ongoing hints of a Pakistani nuclear umbrella for Saudi Arabia.

The signing of a security agreement this week has changed the picture somewhat. For the first time, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are no longer satisfied with gestures of mutual assistance and general declarations of Islamic brotherhood, but explicitly stipulate that an attack on one will be considered an attack on both. This is a move intended to shift the relationship from shadow to light, from concealment to declaration.

And yet, even when the “hidden” is exposed, the ambiguity does not disappear. The new alliance raises new questions: How will the mutual commitment be implemented in times of crisis? What is the scope of operational coordination, and whether—despite denials—there is a Pakistani nuclear commitment to the kingdom? In fact, making the alliance public only increases speculation about this dimension, and it seems the motif of “much remains hidden” persists.

It should be remembered that the alliance between the states is not new at all. Economic and social ties—oil credit, financial aid, millions of Pakistani workers in Saudi Arabia, and the status of the Hajj—continue to constitute the basis of the strategic glue. The security agreement adds to these existing layers, but it is also intertwined with parallel civilian measures. Thus, this is a comprehensive relationship, not limited to military deterrence alone.

On the regional level, Saudi Arabia signals that even though in recent years its tension with Iran has diminished and relations have entered a proper track—at least publicly through détente—it still maintains an alliance with a nuclear Muslim state that provides it with strategic depth.

Therefore, what once seemed like a discreet alliance has become a declared one, but no less complex. Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have openly announced what was tacitly known, yet deliberately left open questions. In doing so, they establish a new strategic model: a relationship based only on partial transparency, a mix of declaration and concealment. This is a dynamic likely to affect not only the balance of power in the Middle East but also the way Gulf states assess their ability to continue hedging risks rather than relying exclusively on the United States.

Topics: Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, Pakistan
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  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • Iran
      • The Israel–Iran War
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
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