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INSS Insight
The Race for $216 Billion: Syria’s Economy and Reconstruction Efforts in the al-Sharaa Era
A year and a half after the fall of the Assad regime, Syria faces a profound paradox. On the external front, the government led by Ahmed al-Sharaa has recorded significant diplomatic achievements: growing regional and international recognition and a wave of investment pledges from the Gulf states, Turkey, the United States, and Europe. On the domestic front, however, the picture is far more troubling: Syria faces ethnic tensions, security threats, ideological divisions, and a severe economic crisis that is becoming a central source...
Noam Binstok | Carmit Valensi
14.07.2026
INSS Insight
The New Syrian Parliament: The Beginning of Democratization or Merely a Facade?
The establishment of Syria’s interim parliament marks a critical juncture in the country’s institutional transition, highlighting the inherent tension between the regime’s aspiration for political and international legitimacy and its tendency toward authoritarian centralization. For Damascus, the move is intended to signal a break from the Ba’ath legacy, but in practice, it reflects a sophisticated mechanism of co-optation: alongside the integration of a diverse range of representatives — from women and minorities to...
Amal Hayek
12.07.2026
INSS Insight
Syria in the Shadow of the War with Iran: Repositioning and Exploiting Regional Opportunities
Syria, under Ahmed al-Sharaa’s leadership, is not a direct party to the war between the United States and Israel on the one hand and Iran on the other. At the same time, it is neither neutral nor passive. Although Syria is not directly involved in the fighting, Damascus has demonstrated extensive diplomatic activity as it seeks to exploit the regional crisis to distance itself from the Iranian axis, reintegrate into the regional system, and present itself as a constructive and valuable actor. At the same time, Syria is reinforcing...
Carmit Valensi
31.03.2026
INSS Insight
Is Russia Returning as a Security Actor in Syria?
About a year after Ahmed al-Sharaa rose to power, a renewed rapprochement between Russia and Syria—particularly in the security sphere—has become apparent. This follows an initial period of suspicion and caution, reflecting a combination of diplomatic appeasement efforts by Moscow and Damascus’s recognition of the security threats facing Syria. In recent months, intensive dialogue has taken place between the two countries’ defense ministries and armed forces, including discussions on assistance to rehabilitate the Syrian army and on...
Georgy Poroskoun
19.01.2026
INSS Insight
Between Peace and Hudna: Islamic Discourse in Syria and the Israeli Dilemma
This article analyzes Islamic discourse among institutions and clerics associated with Syria’s new regime. The discourse reflects fundamentally hostile positions toward Israel and rejects peace with it; however, it is neither uniform nor static. Alongside rigid Islamist ideological expressions—most of which emerged in response to Israeli military activity in Syria—over the past year, there has also been a noticeable softening in tone and frequency. This trend does not indicate a deep ideological shift or the groundwork for full...
Ofir Winter | Carmit Valensi | Amal Hayek
16.01.2026
INSS Insight
The New Syria—One Year After al-Sharaa’s Rise to Power
On December 8, the anniversary of the fall of the Assad regime and the rise of the transitional government led by President Ahmed al-Sharaa was commemorated. Despite his jihadi past, al-Sharaa seeks to present himself as a national, pragmatic, and statesmanlike leader. Thus far, the transitional government has advanced stabilization measures and rapid political procedures, including the establishment of a technocratic government and a temporary parliament, as well as an attempt to rebuild the Syrian army. While al-Sharaa has achieved...
Carmit Valensi | Amal Hayek
14.12.2025
INSS Insight
A New-Old Partner in Damascus: Is Qatar Rebuilding Syria in Its Image?
Since Ahmed al-Sharaa’s rise to power in Syria, Qatar has played a central role in the country’s reconstruction process. With the open support of the United States and coordination with Turkey, Doha has positioned itself as a leading actor in shaping the new Syrian order. It reopened its embassy in Damascus, sent aid, launched infrastructure projects, and invested in the energy, health, and transportation sectors. Combining diplomacy with a “bottom-up” economic strategy, Qatar offers an alternative to other Gulf states regarding...
Yoel Guzansky | Carmit Valensi
21.08.2025
INSS Insight
The Bloody Clash in Sweida: Strategic Dilemmas for Israel
The clashes in the Sweida region of Syria, which began with a local incident that escalated into a large-scale confrontation involving both regional and international actors, cast a heavy shadow over the character of the regime and its performance. Over several days, severe clashes occurred between local Druze militias and fighters from Sunni Bedouin tribes. The Syrian regime’s security forces were dispatched to the area to restore order, but their involvement led to further escalation and intense fighting between them, the Druze,...
Carmit Valensi
22.07.2025
INSS Insight
From a “Jihadist in a Suit” to Hummus in Damascus? Shifts in Israeli Policy Toward Syria
Since the rise of the new regime in Syria, headed by Ahmed al-Sharaa, the government in Damascus has quickly established itself as the official ruling authority. It has been advancing efforts to stabilize the domestic arena and rehabilitate the country’s foreign relations. The new administration has sent reassuring messages to the world and neighboring countries, particularly to Israel, emphasizing that it has no intention of continuing military confrontations. While the international community responded positively and engaged in...
Carmit Valensi
10.07.2025
INSS Insight
Egypt’s Attitude Toward the “New” Syria
Syria is currently undergoing an accelerated process of reintegration into the international community, which appears increasingly inclined to legitimize its new regime under the leadership of Ahmed al-Sharaa. As an Arab Muslim country that shares a border with Israel, it is important to examine how Egypt—Israel’s most important neighbor and a major Arab state—is receiving Syria. While Egyptian–Syrian relations have fluctuated over the past decades, a fundamental ideological gap is now emerging for the first time. Nevertheless, Egypt...
Amira Oron
03.07.2025
INSS Insight
Beyond the Brink: Israel’s Strategic Opportunity in Syria
On December 8, 2024, Syria experienced a historic turning point with the fall of Bashar al-Assad. This dramatic development has ushered in a new phase of uncertainty and transition, offering both risks and opportunities. While it is still too early to determine Syria’s long-term trajectory, the new leadership under President Ahmed al-Sharaa has made cautious moves to stabilize the country. However, Israel’s initial reaction—shaped by security anxieties and the trauma of the October 7 attack—has resulted in a militarized and...
Nir Boms | Carmit Valensi | Mzahem Alsaloum
08.05.2025
Database
Interactive Map: Operation Northern Arrows and the Ceasefire Agreement in Lebanon (November 2025)
The map highlights the five IDF outposts located north of the Blue Line and marks areas where ceasefire violations have been recorded. Additionally, it documents Israeli strikes in Lebanon and Hezbollah attacks on Israel during the Swords of Iron War, including Operation Northern Arrows. The map is continuously updated as accurately as possible, based on open-source intelligence assessments and media reports.
Stephane Cohen | Mora Deitch | Orna Mizrahi | Ester Batz | Hannah Bettan
10.03.2025

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  • Research

    • Topics
      • Israel and the Global Powers
      • Israel-United States Relations
      • Glazer Israel-China Policy Center
      • Russia
      • Europe
      • Antisemitism and Delegitimization
      • Iran and the Shi'ite Axis
      • The Campaign Against Iran and the Shiite Axis
      • Iran
      • Lebanon and Hezbollah
      • Syria
      • Yemen and the Houthi Movement
      • Iraq and the Iraqi Shiite Militias
      • Conflict to Agreements
      • Israeli-Palestinian Relations
      • Hamas and the Gaza Strip
      • Peace Agreements and Normalization in the Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States
      • Turkey
      • Egypt
      • Jordan
      • Israel’s National Security Policy
      • Military and Strategic Affairs
      • Societal Resilience and the Israeli Society
      • Jewish-Arab Relations in Israel
      • Climate, Infrastructure and Energy
      • Terrorism and Low Intensity Conflict
      • Cross-Arena Research
      • Data Analytics Center
      • Law and National Security
      • Advanced Technologies and National Security
      • Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference
      • Economics and National Security
    • Projects
      • Preventing the Slide into a One-State Reality
      • India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC)
  • Publications

    • All Publications
    • INSS Insight
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