Publications
This survey is the second one conducted in June 2025, focusing on the Israeli campaign against Iran. The survey was carried out before the ceasefire was announced
Survey, June 24, 2025
Table of Contents:
Since the outbreak of the Swords of Iron war, the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) has been regularly conducting public opinion surveys aimed at examining public attitudes toward key national security issues, as well as national resilience and public trust.[1]
Click here to view the trends among the Jewish public | Click here to view the trends among the Arab public
Following the first survey conducted by the Data Analytics Center after the launch of Operation Rising Lion against Iran’s nuclear and military capabilities, the second survey—carried out one week later—shows overall stability in public perceptions, alongside several noteworthy trends.
Trust in Key Figures and Institutions
Key Findings:
- IDF: The high level of trust in the Israel Defense Forces remains steady—82% of the public expresses a high or very high level of trust, compared to 83% who were surveyed a week earlier, at the start of the Operation Rising Lion.
- The government: There is a slight continuation of the upward trend in trust in the government since the resumption of fighting—32% of the public expresses high or very high trust, compared to 30% a week earlier.
- IDF spokesperson: High trust in the IDF spokesperson has increased from 63% to 67%. Among the Jewish public, this upward trend is even more pronounced: Trust stood at 55% in May, rose to 71.5% at the onset of Operation Rising Lion and now, one week later, stands at 77% expressing high trust in the IDF spokesperson.
Operation Rising Lion: Situation Assessment and Civilian Resilience
Key Findings:
- Fear of Escalation: Public concern about the campaign escalating has decreased—from 70% to 65%.
- Estimated Duration of the Campaign: A majority of 59% of the public still believes the fighting will last between one week and one month, while the share of those who think it will continue for one to three months has risen to 26%.
- Home Front Preparedness: There has been a slight increase in the public’s assessment of the home front’s preparedness—63% now believes the home front is well or very well prepared, up from 60%.
- Home Front Endurance: Some 39% of the public believes the home front can sustain the current situation for no more than another month. Another 20% estimates it can hold out for only a few more days. Meanwhile, 19% are more optimistic, believing it could endure another two to three months.
Operation Rising Lion: Strategic Direction and End-State
Key Findings:
- Preferred Course of Action: 42% of the public believes Israel should continue and intensify its attacks on Iran’s nuclear program and military capabilities. In contrast, 32% supports ending the campaign as quickly as possible. Another 22% favors expanding the operation until the Iranian regime is overthrown.
- Preferred End-State: A strong majority—65%—supports pursuing a nuclear agreement that ensures Israel’s security interests. Another 23% prefers a ceasefire and tougher sanctions against Iran, even without an agreement. The remaining 12% is unsure how the campaign should conclude.
________________________
[1] The survey was conducted between June 22–23, 2025, by the Data Analytics Center at the Institute for National Security Studies. The fieldwork was carried out by iPanel and included online interviews with 799 Jewish respondents and 154 Arab respondents, forming a representative sample of the adult Israeli population aged 18 and above. Weighting was applied to ensure a balanced ratio between sectors. The maximum sampling error for the full sample is ± 3.2% at a confidence level of 95%.