Publications

Key Findings:

Key Findings:

• Slight increase in confidence in the IDF’s victory: A majority of 59% of the public (66% of Jews, 31% of Arabs) believes that the IDF can win in Gaza, a slight increase from 55% in January, although still below 65% in December. However, only 29% (34% of Jews, 11% of Arabs) is certain of victory, while 26% (20% of Jews, 47% of Arabs) believes the IDF will not win.
• Slight increase in confidence in achieving the war’s objectives: A total of 45% of the public (50% of Jews, 22% of Arabs) believes that the war’s objectives will be largely or fully achieved, up from 41% in January, although still below 52% in December. Meanwhile, 47% believes the objectives will only be partially achieved or not at all (42% of Jews, 66% of Arabs).
• Satisfaction with military achievements in Gaza: A total of 40% of the public (47% of Jews, 14% of Arabs) are highly satisfied with the IDF’s military achievements in Gaza, although this marks a slight decline from 44.5% in January. Meanwhile, 19% (14% of Jews, 35% of Arabs) express dissatisfaction, up from 17% in the previous month.
• Growing support for a hostage deal: A majority (74%) of the public (71% of Jews, 85% of Arabs), supports a deal to returning the hostages, an increase from 67% in January. Only 13% opposes a hostage deal (14% of Jews, 7% of Arabs), while 14% remains undecided.
• Divided opinions over the continuation of the hostage agreement: While there is strong support for securing the release of all the hostages, the public is divided on the likelihood of the agreement achieving this goal. Only 40% (37% of Jews and 55% of Arabs) strongly believes the agreement will advance to the next stage, while 46% (50% of Jews and 31% of Arabs) thinks that the chances are low.
• Returning the hostages as the key condition for victory: A majority (61%) of the public (62% of Jews, 57% of Arabs) believes that returning all the hostages is the key condition for achieving victory. Another 19% (22% of Jews, 8% of Arabs) believes annexing Gaza and re-establishing Jewish settlements there is necessary for victory, while 8% thinks it requires appointing a moderate, non-Hamas Palestinian authority.
• Greater support for ending the war: A total of 42% of the public (33% of Jews, 78% of Arabs), supports ending the war and pursuing diplomatic arrangements. Another 26% (31% of Jews, 4% of Arabs) favors encouraging Palestinian emigration from Gaza, while 24% (28% of Jews, 4% of Arabs) supports resuming full-scale combat in Gaza.

Key Findings:

• Slight decrease in support for a two-state solution: Support for a two-state solution has slightly declined to 34% of the general public, down from 38% in September 2024. Among the Jewish public, only 25% favors a two-state solution, a decline from 31% in September, while support among the Arab public has increased from 62% to 69%. The gap between sectors is particularly evident in the level of strong support—40% of Arabs strongly support a two-state solution, compared to only 4% of Jews. Conversely, 42% of Jews strongly oppose it, compared to just 5% of Arabs.
• Divided views on preferred political arrangements with the Palestinians: The Israeli public is divided on the preferred political arrangement with the Palestinians, with sharp differences between sectors. Overall, 31% of the public (19% of Jews, 80% of Arabs) favors a permanent agreement. The Jewish public particularly leans toward unilateral options—35% favors disengagement from the Palestinians while maintaining security control, and 31% supports Israel’s annexation of Judea and Samaria. In contrast, these options receive minimal support among Arabs, with only 12% favoring disengagement and just 2% supporting annexation. Additionally, only 14% of the general public supports maintaining the status quo, with slightly higher support among Jews (16%) compared to Arabs (7%). The data highlights the sectoral divide between those who favor a broad political settlement and those who support strengthening Israeli control over the territory.

Key Findings:

• Declining confidence in security: Public trust in the ability to provide security for the northern communities has weakened. Currently, only 34% of the public believes that residents can return to the northern communities, marking a sharp decline from 42% in January. The data reveals a growing sense of insecurity among the Jewish public, while the Arab public feels that security has slightly improved. Only 32% of the Jewish public believe that the northern communities can be protected, down from 40% in January, in contrast to 45% of the Arab public, which has slightly decreased from 50% in January. At the same time, a growing share of the public (48%) believes that returning to the north is not possible, up from 40.5% in January. Specifically, a total of 52% of the Jewish public believes that returning to the north is impossible, up from 45% in January, while among the Arab public, this figure has also risen, reaching 34% compared to 23% in January.

Key Findings:

• • Preference for military action against Iran: The Israeli public prefers military action as the primary strategy to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear capabilities. A total of 39% supports an Israeli military strike with US backing, with a clear sectoral divide: 46% of Jews favor this option, compared to only 12% of Arabs. Additionally, 22% (25% of Jews, 8% of Arabs) prefers regime change in Iran as the main approach. In contrast, only 13% of the public (10% of Jews, 25% of Arabs) supports a diplomatic solution, such as a new US-led nuclear agreement, highlighting sharp sectoral differences. Another 18% (12% of Jews, 42% of Arabs) is uncertain about the most effective approach, with nearly half of the Arab public expressing considerable uncertainty on this issue.
  • Preference for military action if no nuclear agreement is reached with Iran: In the absence of a new nuclear agreement with Iran, a total of 47% of the public (53% of Jews, 23% of Arabs) supports an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities in coordination with the United States. Another 28% (33% of Jews, 9% of Arabs) supports a unilateral Israeli strike without American backing, reflecting a greater willingness among Jews to act independently. Conversely, only 12% of the public (4% of Jews, 45% of Arabs) thinks that Israel should avoid any military strike, with nearly half the Arab public supporting this option—underscoring a sharp sectoral divide.

Key Findings:

• Divided views on Israel’s international isolation: The Israeli public is divided on whether Israel can remain secure and prosperous despite international isolation. Only 31% of the public (34% of Jews, 20% of Arabs) agrees to a great or very great extent that Israel can thrive despite isolation, while 59% disagrees to varying degrees (58% of Jews, 65% of Arabs). Strong support for this notion is minimal, with only 9% (10% of Jews, 5% of Arabs) firmly agreeing.

• Steady support for reserve service: A majority (54%) of the Jewish public would encourage a family member who had already served in combat reserves during the war to report for another call-up, a slight decline from 56% in December. Opposition to encouraging further reserve service remains steady at 22% in February, compared to 21% in December. These figures suggest that support for the reserves remains high, despite the prolonged fighting and ongoing strain on the reserves system.
• Concerns that ultra-Orthodox exemptions would harm motivation to serve: A majority (67%) of the Jewish public believes that a law granting exemptions to the ultra-Orthodox from IDF service would harm motivation to serve. A total of 41% say it would significantly harm motivation, while 26% believe it would have a moderate impact. In contrast, only 28% believe a law would have little or no impact (14% for each option). Among the Arab public, opinions are more moderate: 55% believes such a law would harm motivation (31% says significantly, 24% to some extent). However, uncertainty is much higher among the Arabs (24%) compared to just 4% among Jews, suggesting a greater sense of detachment from the issue.