Publications
Based on unique sources and professional assessment the 2003-2004 Strategic Balance presents an accurate and comprehensive military posture of the countries in the Middle East. Up-to-date figures and information on defense budgets, procurement, equipment holdings, military deployments, WMD listings, and foreign aid; and key components of military force structures such as major changes to the orders of battle, and a survey of personnel, weapons and equipment holdings, non-conventional capabilities and ballistic missiles, are presented in accessible and easy to use formats.
Table of Contents
Preface
Introduction
Part I: Middle East Strategic Assessment
Chapter 1 / The Middle East in Transition: An Overview / Ephraim Kam
United States Involvement
The Evolving Reality in Iraq
Regional Ramifications of the Iraq War
Pressures on Iraq
The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
The Stability of Middle East Regimes
Israel and the Region at Large
Chapter 2 / The Middle East on the Global Agenda / Mark A. Heller
The Western Agenda
The Greater Middle East Initiative
Chapter 3 / International Terrorism in the Shadow of the Iraq War / Yoram Schweitzer
The Spread of Suicide Terrorism
The Low Intensity Conflict in Iraq
Al-Qaeda and its Affiliates Beyond Iraq
Successes and Challenges in the War against Al-Qaeda
Chapter 4 / WMD Proliferation Trends and Strategies of Control / Emily B. Landau and Ram Erez
New Proliferation Concerns
State-by-State Review
Reflections an Proliferation
Chapter 5 / Challenges Facing Middle East Economies / Paul Rivlin
Principal Economic Trends
Economies in Brief
Underlying Problems in Arab Economies
Chapter 6 / The Egyptian Armed Forces / Shlomo Brom and Yiftah S. Shapir
The Order-of-Battle
The Balance of Power with Israel
Is a Military Confrontation Realistic?
Chapter 7 / Israel at a Strategic Crossroads / Shai Feldman
Israel's International Standing
The Palestinian Challenge
Israel's Unilateral Measures
Marketing the Disengagement Plan
An Interim Assessment
Chapter 8 / The Intifada: The Dynamics of an Ongoing Conflict / Anat Kurz
The Dynamics of Violence
Undermining the PA's Stature
The Politics of Violence: For and Against a Hudna
The Challenge of Disengagement
Looking Forward
Chapter 9 / The 2004 Strategic Balance: A Net Assessment / Meir Elran
The General Strategic Balance
The Military Balance
The Sub-Conventional Security Balance
Israel's Vantage
Documents on Israel's Disengagement Plan
Ariel Sharon's Four-Stage Disengagement Plan, May 28, 2004
President Bush's Letter to Israeli Prime Minister Sharon, April 14, 2004
Letter from Dov Weisglass to Dr. Condoleeza Rice
Part II: Military Forces
Introductory Note
Review of Armed Forces
- Algeria
- Bahrain
- Egypt
- Iran
- Iraq
- Israel
- Jordan
- Kuwait
- Lebanon
- Libya
- Morocco
- Oman
- Palestinian Authority
- Qatar
- Saudi Arabia
- Sudan
- Syria
- Tunisia
- Turkey
- United Arab Emirates
- Yemen
Tables
The Middle East Military Balance at a Glance
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Space Assets
Charts
The Eastern Mediterranean Military Forces
The Persian Gulf Military Forces
The North African Military Forces
Contributors