Publications
in Strategic Survey for Israel 2013-2014, eds. Shlomo Brom and Anat Kurz , Tel Aviv: Institute for National Security Studies, 2014

The popular uprising that broke out in Syria in March 2011 evolved into a civil war with no end in sight. Neither the forces of Bashar al-Assad nor the various rebel factions are capable of defeating the other. Each side enjoys advantages while suffering from disadvantages that reflect the unique sectarian composition of Syrian society. Each is affected by the extent of external aid it has received, as well as by the structure of the regime that has been institutionalized over the years. Against this background, an already protracted struggle continues, giving rise to an unstable standoff. This article describes and analyzes the principal characteristics of the civil war, and the challenges that it poses both to Syria’s neighbors and to international actors. The essay will examine the direct consequences of the war for Israel, as well as possible ensuing ramifications.
The opinions expressed in INSS publications are the authors’ alone.