Publications

According to recent reports, over the past year there has been a significant increase in both the scope and severity of nationalist violence perpetrated by Jews against Palestinians. Nevertheless, the government has chosen not to confront the phenomenon decisively, despite its potential to lead to serious escalation

The memorandum proposes a research framework for analyzing and understanding a major strategic challenge facing the State of Israel: an accelerating slide toward a “one-state” reality between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea. Such an outcome is expected to severely undermine the Zionist vision of a Jewish, democratic, secure, and prosperous state. The memorandum examines the main drivers pushing Israel toward a one-state model. These include the erosion of the two-state paradigm; the weakening of the Palestinian Authority; settlement, outposts and farms expansion in Judea and Samaria; and the growing intermingling of Israeli and Palestinian populations. The memorandum outlines several plausible scenarios for a one-state reality, concluding that such a development would likely trigger violent escalation, severely damage Israel’s international standing, and lead to a breakdown of Israeli social cohesion and economic stability. To prevent this trajectory, the authors recommend advancing political, geographic, and demographic separation steps from the Palestinians; strengthening the Palestinian Authority as the only viable partner for cooperation; maintaining Israel’s overriding security responsibility; and mobilizing moderate Arab states to promote normalization, support and improve the Palestinian economy.

What options are available to Israel with regard to its conduct in the Gaza Strip in 2026—and how should it act?