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Colonel (res.) Dr. Ofer Guterman is a senior researcher in the "From Conflict to Agreements" research program, at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). Concurrently, he serves as a senior researcher at the Institute for the Research of Methodology of Intelligence (IRMI). Ofer has served as a senior analyst within Israeli Defense Intelligence (IDI), including a role as the intelligence assistant to the military secretary to the Prime Minister. He holds a PhD from the Department of Middle Eastern Studies and the Department of Political Science at Ben-Gurion University, a master's degree in security studies and a bachelor's degree in Arabic Language and Literature, both from Tel Aviv University.
Ofer Guterman
Senior Researcher
Publications
All PublicationsStrategic Alternatives for the Gaza Strip
After approximately a year and a half of war in the Gaza Strip, Israel stands at a crossroads and must formulate a relevant strategy regarding the future of the Strip. It faces a rather grim range of alternatives, all problematic in their implications and feasibility: encouraging “voluntary emigration”—an option whose strategic consequences have not been thoroughly examined in Israel and whose feasibility is low; occupying the Strip and imposing prolonged military rule—while this may severely weaken Hamas, it does not guarantee its eradication, and comes with the risk of endangering the Israeli hostages held by Hamas and incurring other significant long-term costs to Israel; establishing a moderate Palestinian governance in the Strip with international and Arab support—an option whose costs to Israel are low, but currently lacks an effective mechanism for demilitarizing the Strip and dismantling Hamas’s military capabilities; and finally, the possibility that political and military stabilization initiatives will fail, leaving Hamas in power.
10 April, 2025After the Agreement for the Release of the Hostages—What Should Be Done with the Gaza Strip?
An analysis of the governance alternatives in the Gaza Strip for “the day after” the war
29 January, 2025