Tel Aviv: Institute for National Security Studies, 2007
Asher Susser
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the second lebanon war: the regional setting. the 2006 lebanon war was not just another round of the arab-israeli conflict. departing from the familiar pattern of classic warfare, this was a subconventional, asymmetric war between israel and hizbollah, a non-state, irregular force waging a guerilla war. however, and more importantly, this was not essentially an arab-israeli war in the traditional sense, rather an indirect confrontation between israel and iran through the latter’s shiite proxy in lebanon – hizbollah. for the most part, with the exception of syria, the arab sunni muslim countries played the part of passive bystanders. some who had fought against israel in the past even hoped that the war would lead to an israeli victory over the iran-hizbollah alliance, which has also supported the islamic revolutionary forces in the arena that threaten numerous arab regimes.
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the second lebanon war: the regional setting. the 2006 lebanon war was not just another round of the arab-israeli conflict. departing from the familiar pattern of classic warfare, this was a subconventional, asymmetric war between israel and hizbollah, a non-state, irregular force waging a guerilla war. however, and more importantly, this was not essentially an arab-israeli war in the traditional sense, rather an indirect confrontation between israel and iran through the latter’s shiite proxy in lebanon – hizbollah. for the most part, with the exception of syria, the arab sunni muslim countries played the part of passive bystanders. some who had fought against israel in the past even hoped that the war would lead to an israeli victory over the iran-hizbollah alliance, which has also supported the islamic revolutionary forces in the arena that threaten numerous arab regimes.
The 2006 Lebanon War was not just another round of the Arab-Israeli conflict. Departing from the familiar pattern of classic warfare, this was a subconventional, asymmetric war between Israel and Hizbollah, a non-state, irregular force waging a guerilla war. However, and more importantly, this was not essentially an Arab-Israeli war in the traditional sense, rather an indirect confrontation between Israel and Iran through the latter’s Shiite proxy in Lebanon – Hizbollah. For the most part, with the exception of Syria, the Arab Sunni Muslim countries played the part of passive bystanders. Some who had fought against Israel in the past even hoped that the war would lead to an Israeli victory over the Iran-Hizbollah alliance, which has also supported the Islamic revolutionary forces in the arena that threaten numerous Arab regimes.
The opinions expressed in INSS publications are the authors’ alone.
The strategic assessment for Israel for 2021 is shaped by significant uncertainty in three principal areas: the level of success in coping with COVID-19; the modus operandi and policies of the new administration in the United States; and the political developments in Israel. The current assessment is based on a broader conception of national security, which places greater weight than in the past on the domestic arena and on threats to internal stability, social cohesion, values, and fabric of life. This of course does not detract from the urgency of security threats, which remain significant. In the face of this uncertainty, Israel will need to prioritize attention to the internal crisis; adjust itself to the competition between the great powers, which is affected by the pandemic; adapt to the Biden administration and coordinate with it on Iran and other issues; expand alliances and normalization agreements with additional countries in the region; and be ready for military escalation in the north and in the Gaza Strip arena, which could occur even though all of the actors involved prefer to avoid it.
21/12/21
2021 Strategic Overview: Vaccines and Vacillations
The strategic assessment for Israel for 2021 is shaped by significant uncertainty in three principal areas: the level of success in coping with COVID-19; the modus operandi and policies of the new administration in the United States; and the political developments in Israel. The current assessment is based on a broader conception of national security, which places greater weight than in the past on the domestic arena and on threats to internal stability, social cohesion, values, and fabric of life. This of course does not detract from the urgency of security threats, which remain significant. In the face of this uncertainty, Israel will need to prioritize attention to the internal crisis; adjust itself to the competition between the great powers, which is affected by the pandemic; adapt to the Biden administration and coordinate with it on Iran and other issues; expand alliances and normalization agreements with additional countries in the region; and be ready for military escalation in the north and in the Gaza Strip arena, which could occur even though all of the actors involved prefer to avoid it.
25/01/21
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the second lebanon war: the regional setting. the 2006 lebanon war was not just another round of the arab-israeli conflict. departing from the familiar pattern of classic warfare, this was a subconventional, asymmetric war between israel and hizbollah, a non-state, irregular force waging a guerilla war. however, and more importantly, this was not essentially an arab-israeli war in the traditional sense, rather an indirect confrontation between israel and iran through the latter’s shiite proxy in lebanon – hizbollah. for the most part, with the exception of syria, the arab sunni muslim countries played the part of passive bystanders. some who had fought against israel in the past even hoped that the war would lead to an israeli victory over the iran-hizbollah alliance, which has also supported the islamic revolutionary forces in the arena that threaten numerous arab regimes.
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the second lebanon war: the regional setting. the 2006 lebanon war was not just another round of the arab-israeli conflict. departing from the familiar pattern of classic warfare, this was a subconventional, asymmetric war between israel and hizbollah, a non-state, irregular force waging a guerilla war. however, and more importantly, this was not essentially an arab-israeli war in the traditional sense, rather an indirect confrontation between israel and iran through the latter’s shiite proxy in lebanon – hizbollah. for the most part, with the exception of syria, the arab sunni muslim countries played the part of passive bystanders. some who had fought against israel in the past even hoped that the war would lead to an israeli victory over the iran-hizbollah alliance, which has also supported the islamic revolutionary forces in the arena that threaten numerous arab regimes.