Undermining the State’s Jewish Character

Key Findings

This scenario was selected by 19% of respondents as one of the three main threats (22% in the previous wave). The other measures also remained similar across the two waves: 18% assess the likelihood of its occurrence as high or very high (the same percentage as in the previous wave), and 48% anticipate high or very high damage (49% in the previous wave). In the July survey, 42% of the full public sample assess the State’s preparedness for this scenario as low or very low.

Perceived anticipated damage across the various domains is among the lowest of all scenarios, with the most significant domain being emotional and social resilience (43%).

Selected as One of the Three Most Threatening Scenarios over the Next Five Years

Public – July 2026 Public – February 2026 Experts – February 2026

Selected as the Single Most Significant Threat

Public – July 2026 Public – February 2026 Experts – February 2026

Likelihood of the Scenario Occurring within the Next Five Years

High or Very High Likelihood Moderate Likelihood Low or Very Low Likelihood Don’t Know

Public – July 2026

18%29%51%

Public – February 2026

18%26%52%

Experts – February 2026

10%14%76%

Anticipated Damage to the State of Israel if the Scenario Occurs

High or Very High Damage Moderate Damage Little or No Damage Don’t Know

Public – July 2026

48%24%25%

Public – February 2026

48%21%26%

Experts – February 2026

53%24%21%

Public – July 2026

How Prepared Is Israel Currently to Cope with This Scenario?

Full Public Sample

High or Very High Preparedness 17%

Moderate Preparedness 30%

Low or Very Low Preparedness 42%

Don’t Know 11%

Public – July 2026

Expected Degree of Impact across Different Domains

High or Very High Impact Moderate Impact Low or No Impact Don’t Know

Functioning of State Authorities

29%27%39%

Sense of Personal Security

38%22%35%

Financial Security and Standard of Living

33%23%39%

Emotional and Social Resilience

43%23%29%