Findings

The Conflict as a Threat to the State of Israel

Perception of the Threat Posed by the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict

As an ongoing and topical issue, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict was examined separately from the other scenarios. In the current wave, 55% of the public indicated that the issue of the conflict constitutes a significant threat to Israel to a large or very large extent, similar to 53% in the previous wave (a non-significant difference). However, the proportion of respondents answering "to a very large extent" rose from 16% to 21%.

Threat to a Large or Very Large ExtentThreat to a Moderate ExtentLittle or No ThreatDon’t Know

Public – July 2026

Public – February 2026

Experts – February 2026

Threat Perception by Political Camp — July 2026

Perception of the threat associated with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is high across all political orientations: 68% of those who identify as left-wing view the issue as a threat to a large or very large extent, compared to 59% of those in the political center and 50% of those on the right.

Threat to a Large or Very Large ExtentThreat to a Moderate ExtentLittle or No Threat

Right

Center

Left

The Most Threatening Scenario Concerning the Conflict

When asked which scenario related to the conflict is perceived as the most threatening, public threat perception is distributed among the alternatives: 35% view a bi-national state in which Palestinians are granted full citizenship as the main threat, 24% point to the two-state solution, and 24% to full annexation without granting citizenship. The proportion of those who believe that none of the scenarios constitutes a significant threat stands at 9% (11% in the previous wave). Among Jewish respondents, the bi-national state scenario is the most prominent (39%), while among Arab respondents, the annexation scenario stands out (46%).

Public – July 2026 Public – February 2026 Experts – February 2026

Full Annexation of the Judea and Samaria Territories, Without Granting Full Israeli Citizenship to Palestinians

A Single Bi-National State, Including Full Israeli Citizenship for Palestinians

A Palestinian State Alongside Israel, Within a Two-State Solution

None of the Scenarios Constitutes a Significant Threat

Don’t Know

Comparison between the Most Threatening General Scenario and the Most Threatening Israeli–Palestinian Scenario

Finally, when respondents were asked to choose between the general scenario they selected as the most threatening and the Israeli-Palestinian scenario they selected, 68% chose the general scenario and 30% chose the Israeli-Palestinian scenario—rates identical to those measured in the previous wave. In other words, although the Israeli-Palestinian conflict issue is perceived as a significant threat in its own right, for most of the public it does not outweigh the general scenario they identified as most threatening.

General ScenarioIsraeli–Palestinian ScenarioDon’t Know

Public – July 2026

Public – February 2026

Experts – February 2026