Selected as One of the Three Most Threatening Scenarios over the Next Five Years
Public – July 2026
Public – February 2026
Experts – February 2026
Cyberattack and Foreign Influence in the Digital Sphere
Key Findings
The proportion of respondents selecting this scenario dropped from 12% in the previous wave to 9% in the current wave. At the same time, the perceived likelihood of its occurrence actually rose (44% compared to 35% in the previous wave). It appears that, despite the increase in its perceived likelihood, the public currently perceives other threats as more significant. In addition, the proportion anticipating high or very high damage dropped from 44% to 34%, the lowest among all scenarios. Perceived preparedness is among the highest across the scenarios: 13% of the full public sample assess the State’s preparedness as low or very low.
The anticipated damage is particularly pronounced in terms of the functioning of state authorities (64%).
Selected as the Single Most Significant Threat
Public – July 2026
Public – February 2026
Experts – February 2026
Likelihood of the Scenario Occurring within the Next Five Years
High or Very High Likelihood
Moderate Likelihood
Low or Very Low Likelihood
Don’t Know
Public – July 2026
Public – February 2026
Experts – February 2026
Anticipated Damage to the State of Israel if the Scenario Occurs
High or Very High Damage
Moderate Damage
Little or No Damage
Don’t Know
Public – July 2026
Public – February 2026
Experts – February 2026
Public – July 2026
How Prepared Is Israel Currently to Cope with This Scenario?
Full Public Sample
High or Very High Preparedness
37%
Moderate Preparedness
45%
Low or Very Low Preparedness
13%
Don’t Know
5%
Public – July 2026
Expected Degree of Impact across Different Domains
High or Very High Impact
Moderate Impact
Low or No Impact
Don’t Know