Damage to Essential Infrastructure and Supply Chains

Key Findings

This scenario remained stable and relatively low across all metrics: 9% selected it as a main threat, 19% assess the likelihood of its occurrence as high or very high, and 50% anticipate high or very high damage. In the July survey, 37% of the full public sample assess the State’s preparedness for this scenario as low or very low.

The anticipated damage to financial security and standard of living is the highest among all scenarios (77%), along with 60%–63% across the remaining domains.

Selected as One of the Three Most Threatening Scenarios over the Next Five Years

Public – July 2026 Public – February 2026 Experts – February 2026

Selected as the Single Most Significant Threat

Public – July 2026 Public – February 2026 Experts – February 2026

Likelihood of the Scenario Occurring within the Next Five Years

High or Very High Likelihood Moderate Likelihood Low or Very Low Likelihood Don’t Know

Public – July 2026

19%41%36%

Public – February 2026

16%37%43%

Experts – February 2026

14%60%26%

Anticipated Damage to the State of Israel if the Scenario Occurs

High or Very High Damage Moderate Damage Little or No Damage Don’t Know

Public – July 2026

50%32%13%

Public – February 2026

53%29%14%

Experts – February 2026

70%25%

Public – July 2026

How Prepared Is Israel Currently to Cope with This Scenario?

Full Public Sample

High or Very High Preparedness 17%

Moderate Preparedness 39%

Low or Very Low Preparedness 37%

Don’t Know 7%

Public – July 2026

Expected Degree of Impact across Different Domains

High or Very High Impact Moderate Impact Low or No Impact Don’t Know

Functioning of State Authorities

60%27%10%

Sense of Personal Security

63%23%11%

Financial Security and Standard of Living

77%15%6%

Emotional and Social Resilience

60%26%10%