Publications
Cyber, Intelligence, and Security, Volume 2, No. 1, May 2018

The rise of offensive interstate cyber interactions continues to fan interest in the coercive potential of cyber operations. Advocates of this revolutionary view insist that it signifies a shift in the balance of interstate relations; yet empirical evidence from past cases challenges these beliefs as actions often result in continued resistance rather than compliance. Regardless of its performance, the coercive potential of cyber operations cannot be readily dismissed. Consequently, the paper advances that the outcome of coercive cyber operations is better explained using heuristic decision-making strategies rather than normative approaches such as expected utility.
The opinions expressed in INSS publications are the authors’ alone.
Publication Series
Cyber, Intelligence, and Security