Publications
Tel Aviv: Institute for National Security Studies, 2016

The essays in Strategic Survey for Israel 2016-2017, the latest volume in the series published annually by the Institute for National Security Studies, were written and compiled during a period of upheaval and instability in Israel’s strategic environment. In many respects, this upheaval continues the trends that have marked the Middle East and much of the international arena in previous years, especially since the so-called “Arab Spring” swept through the region. Accordingly, many of the events that occurred in the region during the period under review, especially those with a direct or indirect effect on Israel’s national security, came as no major strategic surprise, and were, rather, developments involving highly risky escalation or deadlock. At the same time, together with the risks, the overall picture includes elements with potential for new policies and initiatives that can help Israel cope with the security and political challenges facing it, and bolster its ability to enhance its regional and international status.
The Middle East in a Global Context
One Year to Implementation of the JCPOA: Assessing the Nuclear Deal in Context / Emily B. Landau, Ephraim Asculai, and Shimon Stein
Iran after the Nuclear Agreement / Ephraim Kam and Sima Shine
Developments in the Global Oil Market: Strategic Effects on the Middle East / Shmuel Even and Eran Yashiv
The Involvement of the United States and Russia in the Middle East / Oded Eran
Russia: Internal and External Challenges / Zvi Magen
The Wave of Refugees and Migrants from the Middle East: Challenges and Dilemmas for Europe / Shimon Stein and Sarah Fainberg
China’s Middle East Policy: Between Continuity and Change / Assaf Orion, Galia Lavi, Doron Ella, and Israel Kanner
The Middle East: The Ongoing Upheaval
Syria and Iraq after the Islamic State / Mark A. Heller
The Crisis in Syria: Learning to Live with It / Udi Dekel
Egypt: The Struggles of the Sisi Regime / Ephraim Kam
Challenges Confronting Saudi Arabia / Yoel Guzansky
The Sunni and Shiite Axes in the Middle East / Sima Shine
Challenges and Opportunities for Israel
Israel and the Palestinians: Ongoing Crisis and Widening Stagnation / Shlomo Brom, Anat Kurz, and Gilead Sher
Israel and the Palestinians: Conditioning and Capacity Building for Future Arrangements / Assaf Orion and Udi Dekel
Arab Approaches to the Political Process and Normalization with Israel / Ofir Winter
Turkey after the Failed Coup Attempt: Inward Focus and External Assertiveness / Gallia Lindenstrauss
Relationship Reset: Israel and the United States / Oded Eran and Michal Hatuel-Radoshitzky
The First Circle of Military Challenges Facing Israel: Multiple Arenas and Diverse Enemies / Kobi Michael and Gabi Siboni
The First Cognitive War / Gabi Siboni
Hatred and Racism between Jews and the Arab Palestinian Minority in Israel: Characteristics, Consequences, and Coping Strategies / Ephraim Lavie, Meir Elran, and Muhammed Abu Nasra
Internal Elements of National Resilience / Moshe Ya’alon
Conclusion
Israel 2016-2017 Situation Assessment: Challenges and Responses / Amos Yadlin