Publications
Tel Aviv: Institute for National Security Studies, 2013

Focus in the analytical essays compiled here is on Israel’s strategic environment, particularly the challenges and opportunities that await Israel in 2014. In 2013 the Middle East continued to grapplewith several risk-laden issues and processes that began in previous years, includingthe socio-political unrest in many Arab states and the increased power ofradical Islamic elements in lawless areas near Israel’s borders; the ongoingcivil war in Syria; the unresolved Iranian nuclear issue; and the wide gaps betweenIsrael and the Palestinians. At the same time, several new developments offeredpositive opportunities to shape more auspicious situations: an interimagreement delayed progress on the Iranian nuclear program and inspired fresh hopefor a resolution of the issue; Syria agreed to dismantle its chemical arsenal;the fall of the Muslim Brotherhood regime in Egypt dealt a blow to politicalIslam’s rising regional star; and after a hiatus of several years, negotiationsbetween Israel and the Palestinians resumed.
Full text
Introduction
Part I: Developments in the Middle East
Iran and the International Community, 2013: Is it Decision Time? / Emily B. Landau and Shimon Stein
Syria: The Civil War with No Winner / Shlomo Brom, Benedetta Berti, and Mark A. Heller
The Upheaval in Egypt / Ephraim Kam
Jordan: Relative Stability in the Eye of the Storm / Oded Eran
Turkey: Looking Beyond the Current Challenges / Gallia Lindenstrauss
Russia in the Middle East: The Drive to Enhance Influence / Zvi Magen
United States Involvement in the Middle East: Image vs. Reality / Oded Eran
Part II: Israel and the Middle East
Israel's Current Strategic Security Challenges / Udi Dekel, Shlomo Brom, and Yoram Schweitzer
The Political Process: Plan A, Plan B, and What Lies Between Them / Udi Dekel, Anat Kurz, and Gilead Sher
Israeli Public Opinion and Separation from the Palestinians / Yehuda Ben Meir and Gilead Sher
The Civilian Front in Israel: A Framework for Future Preparedness / Meir Elran and Alex Altshuler
The Natural Gas Revolution in Israel / Shmuel Even and Oded Eran
Conclusion
A Time for Decisions: Toward Agreements and Alternative Plans / Amos Yadlin
Contributors