Publications

Read the INSS Strategic Analysis for 2023

The international system is struggling with many crises and challenges, led by the continued efforts at economic recovery from the COVID-19 crisis while coping with the pandemic itself; the intensifying competition between the United States and China, which heightens the divisiveness in the international dynamic; and the climate crisis, which tests the ability to cooperate despite disagreements. The US administration has less attention for the Middle East, and is restoring human rights considerations to a central place in its policy,...

The strategic assessment for Israel for 2021 is shaped by significant uncertainty in three principal areas: the level of success in coping with COVID-19; the modus operandi and policies of the new administration in the United States; and the political developments in Israel. The current assessment is based on a broader conception of national security, which places greater weight than in the past on the domestic arena and on threats to internal stability, social cohesion, values, and fabric of life. This of course does not detract...

At the start of H. E. President Isaac Herzog’s term of office, and following the many global and local developments and changes over the past six months – including a new administration in Washington, President Biden’s decision to try to return to the nuclear deal with Iran, the formation of a new government in Israel, and growing tensions in Israeli society, including clashes between Arabs and Jews in Israeli cities – the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) presented to President Herzog highlights on the main strategic...

The coronavirus crisis has raised public awareness of natural hazards and pushed them to the top of the global risk list. The World Economic Forum in Davos (January 2021) determined that infectious diseases are the highest risk in terms of their impact on the world in the coming year. In the medium term, even after the pandemic is over, the socioeconomic consequences of the coronavirus crisis will remain a leading risk. The forum also highlighted other natural risks, including extreme climate change and man-made environmental damage....

Many countries are looking to the COVID-19 vaccines with the hope of overcoming the pandemic and beginning economic recovery. While the drug companies in the West operate as independent for-profit businesses, in China the government directs the research and development efforts of both state and privately owned companies, and uses them as a tool in its policy through official visits in the international theater, cooperation agreements, commitments to supply vaccines, and the provision of loans and other financial assistance. The...

The INSS 14th Annual International Conference, “National Security in an Atmosphere of Global and Internal Disorder,” was held on January 26-28, 2021. Participating in the conference were foreign ministers (from Germany, India, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Israel), party leaders in Israel, guest experts from Israel and abroad, and INSS researchers. The discussions and lectures highlighted four key motifs that will affect Israel’s national security in the coming year – two related to the external-regional and...

The strategic assessment for Israel for 2021 is shaped by significant uncertainty in three principal areas: the level of success in coping with COVID-19; the modus operandi and policies of the new administration in the United States; and the political developments in Israel. The current assessment is based on a broader conception of national security, which places greater weight than in the past on the domestic arena and on threats to internal stability, social cohesion, values, and fabric of life. This of course does not detract...

What will the world look like after COVID-19? Various possible scenarios were examined at INSS regarding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the world in the coming years, and on the Middle East in particular: “continuation,” in which, after a hiatus of several more months, familiar global and regional trends resume; “reversal,” in which fundamental change takes place in the patterns that characterized life before the crisis, and the world prepares for an “illiberal” world order led by China;...

The multilayered COVID-19 crisis – comprising health, economic, social, and governmental dimensions – continues to evolve in the context of much uncertainty, weakens national coping capabilities, and as such harms national security. In Israel there are two elements that amplify the damage of the COVID-19 pandemic: the constitutional-political crisis and the centralization of the public system. These harm governmental legitimacy, form cracks in the contract between the public and the leadership, and erode the ability to cope with the...