The Shiite Militias in Iraq and the Swords of Iron War
Yaron Schneider
INSS Insight No. 1884, July 29, 2024
Since early November 2023, as part of the military response to the Swords of Iron war by the Iranian-led “Axis of Resistance,” Shiite militias in Iraq have been launching missiles and UAVs targeted at Israel. These attacks, which have proliferated in recent months, reflect a shift in the patterns of the militias’ terrorist activity by the militias, which for years mainly attacked American forces in Iraq and Syria. Given this development, it is crucial for Israel and the United States to coordinate their response to this common...
In the months since its establishment, the new government of Iraq, which relies heavily on the support of the pro-Iranian bloc in parliament, has sought a foreign policy that balances between Iran and the United States. In addition, the government, headed by Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani, hopes to improve relations with Iraq’s Arab neighbors, as well as with Turkey. This diplomatic effort, which reflects the government’s desire to bring some stability to Iraq and to resolve some of the country’s most basic problems in the...
After a year of political upheaval marked by internal conflict among the Shiites in Iraq, the success of the pro-Iranian Shiite camp in forming a government without the camp’s main rival, Muqtada Sadr, is a source of satisfaction to pro-Iranian parties and militias in Iraq, as well as the Iranian regime. However, just as the road to the formation of the government was riddled with hurdles and political and economic problems that have not yet been resolved, the reality facing the new government is challenging, and has the potential...
The rapprochement between the Gulf states and Iraq is of economic and geostrategic importance. It allows Iraq to attract necessary investments and balance the influence of Iran, and through their involvement in Iraq, the Gulf states seek to improve their security and influence in the region. However, Iraq’s political impasse following the 2021 elections, along with the foreign involvement in its affairs, makes it difficult for it to move closer to the Arab world and function as a bridge between the Persian Gulf and Arabian Gulf....
The Regional Arena: Friction and Divides alongside Detente and Cooperation
Eldad Shavit, Ofir Winter, Yoel Guzansky, , Gallia Lindenstrauss, Rémi Daniel, Yaron Schneider, Yoram Schweitzer, Kobi Michael
Strategic Survey for Israel 2022
The main trend in the Middle East arena is regional detente. Following the competition for hegemony between the various camps (Shiite, Sunni pragmatic, the Muslim Brotherhood, and jihadist) that dominated events in recent years, the patterns in the Middle East shifted in 2021. Especially prominent was a tendency absent in the region for many years in favor of cooperation, departing from the reigning divisiveness. Saudi Arabia and Iran are engaged in dialogue, in part through the mediation of Iraq; the United Arab Emirates terminated...
Election Results in Iraq: A Country at a Crossroads and a Message to Iran
Yaron Schneider
INSS Insight No. 1539, December 15, 2021
The parliamentary elections in Iraq this past October were essentially decided in advance, when Iraqis took to the streets in opposition to the local Shiite militias and the corrupt ruling class that has failed to tackle economic problems. Iran received a clear message that anyone who tries to shape the agenda in Iraq will encounter considerable problems. Thus the big question remains: given the difficulties of forming a government of “the winners of the neglect” under Shiite leader Muqtada a-Sadr, will Iran be able to “impose” a...
Tightrope over the Tigris: Iraqi Prime Minister Reins in Iran-Backed Militias
Yaron Schneider
INSS Insight No. 1351, July 22, 2020
Initial steps taken by the new Prime Minister of Iraq, Mustafa al-Kadhimi, indicate that he intends to restrain the elements that weaken and destabilize the country, among them the militias supported by Iran. These measures join other developments challenging the active presence of Iran and its proxies in Iraq: from demonstrations that refuse to die out, and have instead escalated following their violent suppression, to the killing of Soleimani, to Iran’s inability to persuade the political factions in the Iraqi parliament to...
The New Security: Trends in the Study of Security in International Relations in the Post-Cold War Era
Yaron Schneider
Memorandum No. 195, INSS, October 2019
The study of security aspects in the discipline of international relations has grown immensely since the beginning of the development of this academic field, and especially following the end of the Cold War. This article examines the factors that led to its expansion since the 1990s. The key assertion is that with the culmination of the Cold War, the rapid changes within the international arena provided scholars of international relations with new raw material and with research questions that undermined the realist approach, which...
The Limits of Restraint: Hamas in Gaza and a Confrontation with Israel
Yaron Schneider
INSS Insight No. 987, October 30, 2017
The severe economic crisis and deplorable conditions in the Gaza Strip, which worsened over the past year with the significant reduction in the supply of electricity, have spurred Hamas’s leadership to turn to several regional states for help, particularly Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey. Hamas’s reliance on diplomatic contact with these states coincides with a lengthy period of military restraint, whereby the organization does not fire at Israel and imposes a state of security calm on the organizations that heed its authority. It seems...
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