Data Center

The Different Arenas: Iran and Judea and Samaria represent the arenas in which the largest shares of the public report being very or quite concerned.

Specifically, 72% of respondents are very or quite concerned about the situation in Iran, 70% about Judea and Samaria, 62% about Gaza, 67% about Lebanon, 39% about Syria, and 30% about Yemen. Compared with the June 2026 survey, concern regarding Lebanon declined from 80% to 67%, whereas concern about Judea and Samaria increased from 61% to 70%.

Political Breakdown: 74% of coalition voters and 76% of opposition voters are very or quite concerned about Iran. Regarding Gaza, 57% of coalition voters are concerned, compared with 67% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 74% of the Jewish public are very or quite concerned about Judea and Samaria, compared with 55% of the Arab public. Regarding Iran, 74% of the Jewish public and 62% of the Arab public report being concerned.

Security Situation Assessment: The public is divided in its assessment of how Israel's security situation has changed compared with the period prior to October 7.

Specifically, 38% of respondents believe the security situation has improved, 32% believe it has worsened, and 26% believe it has remained unchanged. In September 2025, the corresponding shares were 43%, 43%, and 13%, respectively.

Political Breakdown: 61% of coalition voters believe the security situation has improved, compared with 23% of opposition voters. Conversely, 11% of coalition voters believe it has worsened, compared with 45% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 45% of the Jewish public believe the security situation has improved, compared with 13% of the Arab public. Conversely, 24% of the Jewish public believe it has worsened, compared with 61% of the Arab public.

Preparedness for Future Threats: A majority of the public believe that an attack similar to the events of October 7 could recur from the Gaza border in the coming years.

59% of respondents believe or are certain that such an attack could recur, compared with 32% who believe it could not. 9% responded "Don't know." Compared with the September 2025 survey, the share of respondents who believe the attack could recur increased from 51% to 59% — an increase of 8 percentage points.

Political Breakdown: 63% of coalition voters and 63% of opposition voters alike believe or are certain that such an attack could recur.

Demographic Breakdown: 65% of the Jewish public believe or are certain that such an attack could recur, compared with 37% of the Arab public.

Preparedness for Future Threats: Assessments of the IDF's preparedness to defend communities in southern Israel are higher than those for communities in northern Israel and Judea and Samaria.

Specifically, 54% of respondents assess the IDF as very well or well prepared to defend communities in southern Israel, compared with 49% for communities in northern Israel, and 33% for communities in Judea and Samaria. Conversely, 55% assess preparedness to defend communities in Judea and Samaria as poor or very poor. In the September 2025 survey, the corresponding high-preparedness assessments stood at 57% for southern Israel, 53% for northern Israel, and 39% for Judea and Samaria.

Political Breakdown: 61% of coalition voters assess the IDF as well or very well prepared to defend communities in southern Israel, compared with 51% of opposition voters. The corresponding shares are 57% and 47% for northern Israel, and 37% and 31% for Judea and Samaria.

Demographic Breakdown: 56% of the Jewish public assess the IDF as well or very well prepared to defend communities in southern Israel, compared with 45% of the Arab public. The corresponding shares are 51% and 39% for northern Israel, and 34% and 32% for Judea and Samaria.

Gaza Arena: A majority of the public are dissatisfied with the government's handling of the war in Gaza.

Specifically, 34% of respondents are satisfied to a great or very great extent with the government's handling of the war, compared with 61% who report satisfaction to a small or very small extent. 5% responded "Don't know." Compared with the September 2025 survey, high satisfaction increased from 25% to 34%.

Political Breakdown: 64% of coalition voters are satisfied to a great or very great extent with the government's handling of the war, compared with 13% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 39% of the Jewish public are satisfied to a great or very great extent with the government's handling of the war, compared with 11% of the Arab public.

(Note: The current survey question explicitly includes the term "Swords of Iron War," whereas the September 2025 version did not.)

Gaza Arena: Satisfaction with the IDF's handling of the war in Gaza is higher than satisfaction with the government's handling of the war.

61% of respondents are satisfied to a great or very great extent with the IDF's handling of the war, compared with 34% who report satisfaction to a small or very small extent. 5% answered "Don't know." Compared with the September 2025 survey, high satisfaction increased from 57% to 61%.

Political Breakdown: 77% of coalition voters are satisfied to a great or very great extent with the IDF's handling of the war, compared with 60% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 71% of the Jewish public are satisfied to a great or very great extent with the IDF's handling of the war, compared with 21% of the Arab public. Among Arab respondents, 38% report very low satisfaction and 13% responded "Don't know."

(Note: The current survey question explicitly includes the term "Swords of Iron War," whereas the September 2025 version did not.)

Gaza Arena: A majority of the public believes that neither side won the war in the Gaza arena.

27% of respondents believe that Israel won, 11% believe that Hamas won, and 55% believe that neither side won. Additionally, 2% believe that both sides won to the same extent, and 5% responded "Don't know."

In October 2025, when the question was not explicitly limited to the Gaza arena, 30% believed that Israel won and 50% believed that neither side won.

Political Breakdown: 47% of coalition voters believe that Israel won, compared with 13% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 31% of the Jewish public believe that Israel won, compared with 14% of the Arab public.

(Note: Trend comparability with the October 2025 survey is partial, as the question was updated to specify "in the Gaza arena.")

Lebanon Arena: The most common view among the public is that neither side won the war in Lebanon.

38% of respondents believe that Israel won, 6% believe that Hezbollah won, and 49% believe that neither side won. Additionally, 1% believe that both sides won to the same extent, and 6% responded "Don't know."

Political Breakdown: 56% of coalition voters believe that Israel won, compared with 28% of opposition voters. Among coalition voters, 35% believe that neither side won and 5% responded "Don't know."

Demographic Breakdown: 43% of the Jewish public believe that Israel won, compared with 21% of the Arab public.

Iran Arena: A majority of the public believe that the war ended without a decisive outcome.

Specifically, 23% of respondents believe that Israel won, 12% believe that Iran won, and 60% believe that the war ended without a decisive outcome. 5% responded "Don't know."

In the June 2026 survey, the corresponding shares were 15%, 37%, and 43%, respectively. Notably, the share believing that Iran won declined by 25 percentage points.

Political Breakdown: 42% of coalition voters believe that Israel won, compared with 10% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 26% of the Jewish public believe that Israel won, compared with 11% of the Arab public.

Iran Arena: Approximately two-thirds of the public believe that Israel will need to resume the war against Iran in the coming year.

Specifically, 68% of respondents believe that Israel will need to resume the war, compared with 14% who believe it will not. 18% responded "Don't know." The share believing that Israel will need to resume the war remains unchanged from the June 2026 survey, which also recorded 68%.

Political Breakdown: 82% of coalition voters believe that Israel will need to resume the war, compared with 64% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 75% of the Jewish public believe that Israel will need to resume the war, compared with 39% of the Arab public.

(Note: The July 2025 and April 2026 surveys used different response wording: "Yes/No.")

Iran Arena: The public is divided over a preemptive strike against Iran, although opposition slightly outweighs support.

40% of respondents support a preemptive strike against Iran at this time, compared with 46% who oppose it. 14% answered "Don't know." In the July 2026 survey, support stood at 42% and opposition at 46%. In January 2026, support was slightly higher than opposition, with 45% supporting a strike, compared with 43% who opposed it.

Political Breakdown: 61% of coalition voters support a preemptive strike, compared with 27% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 47% of the Jewish public support a preemptive strike, compared with 10% of the Arab public. Among the Arab public, 6% responded "Somewhat support" and 15% responded "Don't know."

Nationalist Violence: Nearly half of the public defines acts of nationalist violence by Jews as Jewish terrorism that must be stopped.

46% of respondents selected the statement that this is "Jewish terrorism and a dangerous phenomenon that must be stopped." Additionally, 20% view these as "serious incidents that should be prevented but do not constitute terrorism," 14% attribute them mainly to "marginalized youth who need treatment and support," and 14% see them as "a natural response to Palestinian terrorism." The share defining the acts as Jewish terrorism remains nearly unchanged from the June survey, which recorded 45%.

Political Breakdown: 15% of coalition voters define the acts as Jewish terrorism that must be stopped, compared with 69% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 41% of the Jewish public define the acts as Jewish terrorism that must be stopped, compared with 66% of the Arab public.

Social Solidarity: A majority of the public believes that there is little or no solidarity in Israeli society.

Specifically, 31% of respondents believe that there is a great or very great deal of solidarity, compared with 64% who report little or no solidarity. 5% responded "Don't know." In the May 2026 survey, the share reporting a great deal of solidarity stood at 31%, identical to the current September figure.

Political Breakdown: 43% of coalition voters believe that there is a great or very great deal of solidarity, compared with 22% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 34% of the Jewish public believe that there is a great or very great deal of solidarity, compared with 19% of the Arab public.

State Commission of Inquiry: Approximately three-quarters of the public support establishing a state commission of inquiry, including a majority of coalition voters.

Specifically, 75% of respondents support establishing a state commission of inquiry at this time, compared with 17% who oppose it. 8% responded "Don't know." The level of support is similar to that of the October 2025 survey, when it stood at 74.5% in the distribution display; in that survey, 19.5% responded "Somewhat support" and 8.5% answered "Strongly oppose."

Political Breakdown: 52% of coalition voters support establishing a state commission of inquiry, compared with 95% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 72% of the Jewish public support establishing a state commission of inquiry, compared with 85% of the Arab public.

Overview: Confidence in the IDF and senior military officials is higher than confidence in the Israeli Government and prime minister across all seven evaluated parameters. Specifically, the IDF leads with 73% of respondents expressing high confidence. High confidence stands at 27% for the Israeli Government and 31% for the prime minister. Confidence in the senior command staff stands at 61%, compared with 44% for the IDF's process of debriefing and drawing lessons.

Political Breakdown: 83% of coalition voters express high confidence in the IDF, compared with 74% of opposition voters. For the Israeli Government, the corresponding shares are 57% among coalition voters and 4% among opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 82% of the Jewish public express high confidence in the IDF, compared with 36% of the Arab public. Regarding the Israeli Government, the corresponding shares are 31% among the Jewish public and 10% among the Arab public.

IDF: 73% of respondents express high confidence in the IDF, compared with 25% who express low confidence. 2% responded "Don't know." The share expressing high confidence in the IDF remains unchanged from the July 2026 survey, which also recorded 73%.

Political Breakdown: 83% of coalition voters express high confidence in the IDF, compared with 74% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 82% of the Jewish public express high confidence in the IDF, compared with 36% of the Arab public.

IDF Chief of Staff: 60% of respondents express high confidence in IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, compared with 32% who express low confidence. 8% responded "Don't know."

The share expressing high confidence is consistent with July 2026 levels, when it stood at 59%.

Political Breakdown: 61% of coalition voters express high confidence in IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, compared with 69% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 69% of the Jewish public express high confidence in IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, compared with 24% of the Arab public.

IDF Spokesperson: 51% of respondents express high confidence in IDF Spokesperson Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin, compared with 37% who express low confidence. 12% responded "Don't know."

Compared with the end of March 2026, the share expressing high confidence decreased slightly from 56% to 51%.

Political Breakdown: 58% of coalition voters express high confidence in IDF Spokesperson Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin, compared with 53% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 58% of the Jewish public express high confidence in IDF Spokesperson Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin, compared with 21% of the Arab public.

Senior Command Staff: 61% of respondents express high confidence in the IDF senior command staff, compared with 34% who express low confidence. 5% responded "Don't know." Compared with September 2025, the share expressing high confidence rose slightly from 59% to 61%.

Political Breakdown: 61% of coalition voters express high confidence in the IDF senior command staff, compared with 68% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 67% of the Jewish public express high confidence in the IDF senior command staff, compared with 34% of the Arab public.

Debriefing and Drawing Lessons: 44% express high confidence in the IDF's debriefing and lessons-learned process, compared with 51% who express low confidence. 5% responded "Don't know." Compared with September 2025, the share expressing high confidence increased from 37% to 44%.

Political Breakdown: 42% of coalition voters express high confidence in the IDF's debriefing and lessons-learned process, compared with 51% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 47% of the Jewish public express high confidence in the IDF's debriefing and lessons-learned process, compared with 31% of the Arab public.

Israeli Government: 27% of respondents express high confidence in the Israeli Government, compared with 72% who express low confidence. 1% responded "Don't know."

Confidence in the government remains low and polarized by political affiliation. Compared with the July 2026 survey, the share expressing high confidence rose slightly from 25% to 27%.

Political Breakdown: 57% of coalition voters express high confidence in the Israeli Government, compared with 4% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 31% of the Jewish public express high confidence in the Israeli Government, compared with 10% of the Arab public.

Prime Minister: 31% of respondents express high confidence in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, compared with 68% who express low confidence. 1% responded "Don't know."

The share expressing high confidence remains unchanged from the July survey, which also recorded 31%.

Political Breakdown: 67% of coalition voters express high confidence in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, compared with 5% of opposition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 37% of the Jewish public express high confidence in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, compared with 5% of the Arab public.

Threat Perceptions and Challenges: The public's average personal sense of security increased compared with July, though significant gaps persist across political and demographic groups.

Specifically, 37% of respondents report a high or very high personal sense of security, 43% report a moderate sense of security, and 19% report a low or very low sense of security. Measured on a 1–10 scale, the average personal sense of security rose from 5.9 in July to 6.3 in September — an increase of 0.4 points.

Political Breakdown: 53% of coalition voters report a high sense of security, compared with 28% of opposition voters. Conversely, 22% of opposition voters report a low sense of security, compared with 11% of coalition voters.

Demographic Breakdown: 43% of the Jewish public report a high sense of security, compared with 14% of the Arab public. Conversely, 43% of the Arab public report a low sense of security, compared with 13% of the Jewish public.