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Periodicals
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Page 7 of 78 |
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The IAEA Resolution: The Test is in the Next Steps
INSS Insight No. 145, November 30, 2009 |
| Landau, Emily B. |
| The resolution on Iran adopted by the IAEA Board of Governors on November 27 includes important issues that touch upon Iran's lack of cooperation with the agency, and the steep decline in confidence between the international community and Iran. Significantly, the lack of Iranian cooperation on clearing up questions regarding past weapons-related nuclear activity, a recurrent refrain in IAEA reports over the past two years, is raised once again in this resolution. |
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Israel, the United States, and the Faltering Peace Process
INSS Insight No. 144, November 27, 2009 |
| Shalom, Zaki |
| On November 8, 2009, Tom Friedman published an op-ed piece in The New York Times entitled, “Call White House, Ask for Barack” in which he surveys the sorry state of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. In his opinion, currently neither side is really interested in advancing the process towards a permanent settlement. Rather, the Palestinians seemingly want a settlement without talks whereas Israel wants talks without a settlement. The impression is that the American administration is more interested than the parties in promoting the dialogue. With unveiled anger, Friedman asserts that this unacceptable situation requires the present administration to make the radical decision and withdraw the United States from the process. In such a scenario, the leaders of both sides would be forced to face their peoples and tell them the truth: nothing is happening. When both sides show serious inclination to reach a settlement, says Friedman, the administration will have to present them with a thoughtful program to realize the two-state solution. |
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Crisis in the Palestinian Authority
INSS Insight No. 143, November 24, 2009 |
| Brom, Shlomo |
| The failure of the American effort to restart the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians over the final settlement has created a political crisis in the Palestinian Authority. On November 5, PA president Mahmoud Abbas announced that he does not intend to run in the general presidential and Legislative Council elections scheduled for January 2010. Abbas’ announcement may reflect a real political crisis liable to lead to the collapse of the PA, or a tactic designed to put pressure on the United States and Israel. |
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Obama’s Policy toward al-Qaeda, Afghanistan, and Pakistan: Implications for the Broader Middle East and Israel,
INSS Insight No. 142, November 19, 2009
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| Riedel, Bruce |
| President Barack Obama’s most difficult and challenging national security issue is to reverse the deteriorating situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan. The war in Afghanistan will likely define Obama’s foreign policy and consume large amounts of Presidential time and political energy. The stakes are enormous for Obama: the future of NATO, the risk of another 9/11, the danger of nuclear war in south Asia and the cost of sustaining and succeeding in an increasingly unpopular war.
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Iran Rejects the Uranium Deal
INSS Insight No. 141, November 23, 2009 |
| Kam, Ephraim |
| Since early October 2009, the talks between Iran and P5+1 (the five permanent members of the Security Council and Germany) have focused on the proposal for a circular deal: Iran would transfer some 80 percent of the low enriched uranium it has produced thus far to Russia (according to the most recent report from the International Atomic Energy Agency of November 16, Iran has to date produced close to 1,800 kg of low enriched uranium); in turn, Russia would enrich the uranium up to a 20 percent level and move it on to a third country – France, for example – which would process it into nuclear fuel rods for the research reactor in Tehran, which has been in operation since the time of the Shah. |
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A New Wave of Terror in the Arabian Peninsula?
INSS Insight No. 140, November 12, 2009 |
| Guzansky, Yoel and Schweitzer, Yoram |
| A series of factors, including the situation in Yemen, the return of Afghan “alumni” (the current generation), Iraqi “alumni,” and former Guatanamo inmates may test the relative effectiveness demonstrated by the security forces in the Arabian Peninsula in recent years in their struggle against terror. This is particularly relevant in light of what appears to be renewed attempts by terror organizations to strike at senior figures and strategic facilities. Recent attempted terror attacks follow a series of other plots: according to Saudi authorities no fewer than 160 attempts have been thwarted since May 2003. The wave of terror that hit the kingdom was largely contained following a number of executions, mass arrests, close supervision of web sites, mosque activity, and religious clerics, and the process of “rehabilitating” terror activists – in itself a somewhat controversial program. |
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A Possible US-Russian Arrangement and Implications for the Middle East
INSS Insight No. 139, November 12, 2009 |
| Magen, Zvi |
| We have recently been witness to a new US initiative launched by the Obama administration for dialogue with Russia that affects both the bilateral and global levels. The American proposal, which generated several top level meetings, including with presidents and foreign ministers, was apparently submitted to the Russian side as a comprehensive “package deal.” If it materializes, this arrangement will yield a positive change in relations between Russia and the West and stands to have considerable implications for the international system, with an emphasis on the Middle East. |
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Chancellor Merkel's Second Government: Continuity and Change
INSS Insight No. 138, November 4, 2009 |
| Stein, Shimon |
| A month after the general elections in Germany on September 27, 2009, the German parliament (Bundestag) convened for its first session, at which time Chancellor Merkel’s second government was sworn in. Merkel completed the coalition negotiations with the government's new partner, the Liberal party, in record time. |
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The Nuclear Fuel Deal with Iran: Losing Sight of the Broader Picture?
INSS Insight No. 137, October 25, 2009 |
| Landau, Emily B. and Asculai, Ephraim |
| The emerging nuclear fuel deal between the US, Russia, France, and Iran – whether it is actually implemented or not – is shaping up as another point Iran has scored to fend off international efforts that would cease its uranium enrichment activities. Although this agreement would deplete the Iranian stocks of low enriched uranium (LEU), it would also provide Iran with fresh nuclear fuel for its nuclear research reactor. Moreover, Iran has made it absolutely clear that it has no intention of giving up either its present capabilities or its nuclear activities in Natanz, Arak, and any other facility it may have in return for this deal. |
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The Historic Accord between Turkey and Armenia: What Lies Ahead?
INSS Insight No. 136, October 12, 2009 |
| Lindenstrauss, Gallia |
| The agreement signed in Zurich on October 10, 2009 between Turkey and Armenia to establish diplomatic relations offers hope that some of the difficult problems in the southern Caucasus may soon be resolved. The two countries agreed in principle to open the border between them, closed since 1993 because of the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, a Turkish ally, resulting from the dispute over control of Nagorno-Karabakh. Turkey chose then to close the border, and conditioned its reopening on a settlement between Armenia and Azerbaijan |
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| Happy New Year |
1283726551.bmp) Best wishes from INSS for a happy and healthy new year, full of peace, security, and propsperity.
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