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Periodicals
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The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process: Where Is the Obama Administration Headed?
INSS Insight No. 160, February 8, 2010 |
| Shalom, Zaki |
| Eight months ago, President Obama stood on the dais at Cairo University and declared with great fanfare that he intends to open a “new page” in relations between the United States and the Islamic world in general and the Arab states in particular. Both the tone and contents of the speech left no room for doubt that to the president, these relations ranked high on the list of the administration’s priorities. President Obama made it clear that he rejected the approach of his predecessor, George W. Bush, towards the Islamic world. He, by contrast, was determined to advance new trends in United States foreign policy, conciliatory in nature, towards Islamic states. |
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Abu Mazen Visits Russia: New Mediation in the Middle East?
INSS Insight No. 159, February 4, 2010 |
| Magen, Zvi |
| Abu Mazen visited Russia from January 26 to January 28, 2010, as part of a round of meetings that included visits to Germany and Britain (his previous visit to Russia took place in April 2008). During the visit Abu Mazen met with President Medvedev and other officials (Moscow Mayor Luzhkov, Chairman of the Chamber of Commerce Primakov, Chairman of the Russian Central Bureau of Statistics Stepashin, the Patriarch of the Russian Church Kirill, the chief of Russia's Council of Muftis Ravil Gainutdin, and the mufti of Kazan, Gosman Khazrat Iskhakov. |
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Iran: The Time Has Come
INSS Insight No. 158, January 25, 2010 |
| Asculai, Ephraim |
| If its domestic situation were not so serious, Iran's government could be very happy indeed. Iran managed to gain another crucial year in its quest for a nuclear weapons capability, and every passing day brings it closer to its ultimate goal: having the potential to produce deliverable nuclear weapons in short order, if it so decides. It successfully delayed the West from pursuing a more severe sanctions regime, and the West is behaving as if it has all the time in the world. It does not. |
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A Qualitative Leap in the Defense Posture of the Civilian Front?
INSS Insight No. 157, January 20, 2010 |
| Elran, Meir |
| In early 2010 the Israeli public and the country’s enemies learned of two significant developments with regard to the defensive capacities of the civilian front. It was unofficially reported that the Israeli cabinet decided to distribute personal protection kits to the general public starting in February 2010, over a period of three years, at the cost of some NIS 1 billion. Shortly thereafter it was reported that the Iron Dome tactical defense system, developed by Rafael Advanced Defense Systems to intercept short range (4-70 km.) rockets, succeeded in intercepting a mixed barrage simulating Qassam and Grad rockets. It was also reported that consequently, the system would be proclaimed operational in the near future and the first batteries will be deployed in the coming months, initially in southern Israel and later in the north. |
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Yemen: Profile of a Failed Arab State
INSS Insight No. 156, Jamuary 12, 2010 |
| Guzansky, Yoel |
| The media prominence given to Yemen, this time for the aborted attempt to down a Detroit-bound airliner on Christmas Day, is not accidental. For some time Yemen has been a center of instability and proof that the clash between states – at least in the Middle East – has been superseded by local or even global distress caused by the weakness, possibly collapse, of national entities. Evidence lies both in the spillover of the fight against the Houthis into Saudi territory and in the transfer of al-Qaeda's regional center of gravity to Yemen. These are no more than symptoms indicating that Yemen is soon liable to become – if it has not already become – a failed state, and one of the most dangerous ones at that. |
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The US National Strategy for Dealing with Biological Threats
INSS Insight No. 155, January 12, 2010 |
| Friedman, David |
| The 2001 anthrax envelopes affair was a formative event, as in its wake the United States and the West escalated their response to the threat of biological terrorism, including new legislation and extensive resources. Yet while nearly a decade has passed, only recently did President Obama issue a document called “National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats.” In this document, the term “biological threat” refers to severe diseases and pandemics liable to bring about tens or hundreds of thousands of stricken or even dead, whose cause may be natural or man-made (whether by accident or by hostile design). A few factors prompted the president to release this document now. The H1N1 pandemic spreading around the world in recent months set off alarm bells in the administration and demonstrated the tremendous potential of damage inherent in a biological threat. In addition, there is growing concern in the United States about the possibility of terrorist organizations making use of this weapon. Already in December 2008 the congressional committee headed by Bob Graham noted that unless extreme preventive measures are taken by the administration, a significant biological terrorism event can be expected to occur by 2013. |
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US-Iran Negotiations: Simulation Exercise at INSS
INSS Insight No. 154, December 29, 2009 |
| Asculai, Ephraim, Landau, Emily B., and Malz-Ginzburg, Tamar |
| Despite the tendency to denote any simulation exercise on security issues a "war game," the recent simulation designed and held at INSS did not focus on the option of a military attack. Rather, it developed the scenario of a bilateral US-Iranian negotiation over Iran's nuclear program. With Barack Obama – in line with his self-imposed end of the year deadline – currently poised to assess the progress made with his diplomatic outreach to Iran, the importance of understanding the implications of a possible direct bilateral dynamic comes into sharper focus. |
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Is Terrorism Returning to the United States?
INSS Insight No. 153, December 30, 2009 |
| Schweitzer, Yoram |
| The attempted attack on Northwest Airlines Flight 253 (December 25, 2009) by a would-be suicide bomber is a rude reminder of the trend that has been emerging for some time, and is evidence of renewed efforts on the part of al-Qaeda and its affiliates to attack the United States on its own soil and US allies around the globe. |
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Business as Usual in the Persian Gulf: Results from the GCC Annual Summit
INSS Insight No. 152, December 24, 2009 |
| Guzansky, Yoel |
| The agenda of the Gulf Cooperation Council’s thirtieth annual summit, which ended last week in Kuwait, was particularly ambitious. Among the topics on the table were establishment of a joint economic council and connection of the inter-state electrical grids and railways. However, the credit crisis in Dubai, the ongoing warfare on the Saudi-Yemeni border, and Iran’s developing nuclear program and its negative involvement in the region – challenges that make it difficult for the states to adopt a uniform security and foreign policy yet more than ever require them to overcome the disagreements and rivalries – weighed down the discussions. |
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Iran, China, and the Israeli Stick
INSS Insight No. 150, December 22, 2009 |
| Evron, Yoram |
| When President Obama met with the president of China in Beijing last month, he cautioned that he would not be able to block an Israeli attack against Iran much longer unless there is progress in the attempts to stop Iran’s nuclear program. This warning was intended to persuade China of the urgent need for additional sanctions against Iran. Yet even if the potential success of this warning is questionable, it raises questions about Chinese interests in Iran and the Middle East as a whole, about Israel's place vis-à-vis these interests, and about Jerusalem’s possible influence over Beijing. |
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