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Periodicals

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INSS Insight
Withdrawal from the Golan Heights in Stages , INSS Insight No. 165, March 8, 2010
Brom, Shlomo
According to recent report, in a meeting held a few weeks ago with a group of British policy analysts, Syrian foreign minister Walid Muallem said: “For peacemaking, Israel needs to be ready to recognize that Syria is entitled to every inch of the Golan, but we wish to engage in talks." "For us," he continued, "the land is sacred and a matter of honour." Later in the meeting, he mentioned a possible outline for withdrawal from the Golan Heights in tandem with stages of normalization with Israel: "There could be stages of withdrawal, the timing of which could involve a form of normalisation," he said. "Half of the Golan could lead to an end of enmity; three-quarters of the Golan, to a special interest section in the US embassy in Damascus; a full withdrawal would allow a Syrian embassy in Israel." According to Muallem, key issues such as Syria's support for Hamas, Hizbollah, and relations with Iran would "only be answered after withdrawal."
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Proxy War in the Arabian Peninsula INSS Insight No. 164, March 1, 2010
Guzansky, Yoel and Schachter, Jonathan
The recently announced ceasefire between the Yemeni government and Shiite rebels will ideally end what has been the largest military mobilization in the Arabian Peninsula since the 1991 Gulf War. To many observers, the war was no less than a regional front line between Shiite Iran and Sunni Saudi Arabia. The ending or at least the slowing of the conflict might spell some relief for the Yemeni government, which is concurrently battling al-Qaeda and an active secessionist movement.
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Iran's Brinkmanship is Paying Off INSS Insight No. 163, February 14, 2010
Asculai, Ephraim
On Tuesday, February 8, 2010, Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, announced that Iran began enriching uranium from 3.5 to 20% uranium-235. Iran claims that it needs this uranium for its Tehran Nuclear Research Reactor (TNRR). This announcement was made since the deal whereby Iran would receive fuel for its reactor in return for removing a significant amount of 3.5% uranium from the country did not materialize. Although the announcement specified a limited rate of enrichment, this statement has serious ramifications.
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A Proposal for the Resumption of the Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations for a Two-State Solution INSS Insight No. 162, February 10, 2010
Eran, Oded
The U.S. is currently engaged in the attempt to revive final status negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and the government of Israel. While Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has declared his wish to open negotiations without prior conditions, Palestinian President Abbas (Abu Mazen) has repeatedly asked for a complete settlement freeze for at least several months. He also wants "clarifications" on the American proposal to resume negotiations in proximity talks, i.e., no face-to-face negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians, but with the U.S. serving as an intermediary.
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The United States and the Buildup of Military Force in the Persian Gulf INSS Insight No. 161, February 14, 2010
Shapir, Yiftah
Recent international media reports have mentioned the accelerated deployment of American defensive missile systems in the Persian Gulf as preparation for the possibility of an Iranian missile attack in the Gulf region. In a rare statement released to the media, CENTCOM commander General Petraeus also referred to this deployment.
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The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process: Where Is the Obama Administration Headed? INSS Insight No. 160, February 8, 2010
Shalom, Zaki
Eight months ago, President Obama stood on the dais at Cairo University and declared with great fanfare that he intends to open a “new page” in relations between the United States and the Islamic world in general and the Arab states in particular. Both the tone and contents of the speech left no room for doubt that to the president, these relations ranked high on the list of the administration’s priorities. President Obama made it clear that he rejected the approach of his predecessor, George W. Bush, towards the Islamic world. He, by contrast, was determined to advance new trends in United States foreign policy, conciliatory in nature, towards Islamic states.
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Abu Mazen Visits Russia: New Mediation in the Middle East? INSS Insight No. 159, February 4, 2010
Magen, Zvi
Abu Mazen visited Russia from January 26 to January 28, 2010, as part of a round of meetings that included visits to Germany and Britain (his previous visit to Russia took place in April 2008). During the visit Abu Mazen met with President Medvedev and other officials (Moscow Mayor Luzhkov, Chairman of the Chamber of Commerce Primakov, Chairman of the Russian Central Bureau of Statistics Stepashin, the Patriarch of the Russian Church Kirill, the chief of Russia's Council of Muftis Ravil Gainutdin, and the mufti of Kazan, Gosman Khazrat Iskhakov.
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Iran: The Time Has Come INSS Insight No. 158, January 25, 2010
Asculai, Ephraim
If its domestic situation were not so serious, Iran's government could be very happy indeed. Iran managed to gain another crucial year in its quest for a nuclear weapons capability, and every passing day brings it closer to its ultimate goal: having the potential to produce deliverable nuclear weapons in short order, if it so decides. It successfully delayed the West from pursuing a more severe sanctions regime, and the West is behaving as if it has all the time in the world. It does not.
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A Qualitative Leap in the Defense Posture of the Civilian Front? INSS Insight No. 157, January 20, 2010
Elran, Meir
In early 2010 the Israeli public and the country’s enemies learned of two significant developments with regard to the defensive capacities of the civilian front. It was unofficially reported that the Israeli cabinet decided to distribute personal protection kits to the general public starting in February 2010, over a period of three years, at the cost of some NIS 1 billion. Shortly thereafter it was reported that the Iron Dome tactical defense system, developed by Rafael Advanced Defense Systems to intercept short range (4-70 km.) rockets, succeeded in intercepting a mixed barrage simulating Qassam and Grad rockets. It was also reported that consequently, the system would be proclaimed operational in the near future and the first batteries will be deployed in the coming months, initially in southern Israel and later in the north.
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Yemen: Profile of a Failed Arab State INSS Insight No. 156, Jamuary 12, 2010
Guzansky, Yoel
The media prominence given to Yemen, this time for the aborted attempt to down a Detroit-bound airliner on Christmas Day, is not accidental. For some time Yemen has been a center of instability and proof that the clash between states – at least in the Middle East – has been superseded by local or even global distress caused by the weakness, possibly collapse, of national entities. Evidence lies both in the spillover of the fight against the Houthis into Saudi territory and in the transfer of al-Qaeda's regional center of gravity to Yemen. These are no more than symptoms indicating that Yemen is soon liable to become – if it has not already become – a failed state, and one of the most dangerous ones at that.
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Happy New Year
Best wishes from INSS for a happy and healthy new year, full of peace, security, and propsperity.
Strategic Survey for Israel 2010
In the new voulme of the annual series, seventeen analytical essays written by INSS and guest researchers dwell on Israel's strategic environment in the period under review.
Strategic Assessment - August 2010
Terminology for Israel's national security concept; deterring terrorism; Israel and the CTBT; failed states; US options on Iran; the EU and nonproliferation; Russian arms exports to the Middle East
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